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$1.10 (r+a) - Shove with A7s

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SammyW1000
Joined: 25.06.2011

Poker Stars, $1 Buy-in (5,000/10,000 blinds, 1,000 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools by CardRunners - Hand Details

UTG+2: 149,572 (15 bb)
MP1: 180,063 (18 bb)
MP2: 174,552 (17.5 bb)
MP3: 182,706 (18.3 bb)
CO: 473,414 (47.3 bb)
BTN: 172,352 (17.2 bb)
Hero (SB): 100,052 (10 bb)
BB: 65,634 (6.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A 7
2 folds, MP2 raises to 20,600, 3 folds, Hero raises to 99,052 and is all-in, BB folds, MP2 calls 78,452

Flop: (216,104) 5 4 A (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (216,104) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (216,104) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

c1700 players remaining - ITM is at 810 players. Worth noting that with it being rebuy/add-on even the lowest ITM spot was doubling the $5 I'd put in. By my calculation av chip stack at that point would have been c. 340k. So I need to double up at least once. A7s at this point seems to be a shoving hand to me?

Had just moved to table so no read on villain.

What I'd be interested in feedback on is how to read the minraise from MP. What proportion of players are weak compared to players trapping? Even against KK we are at c33% to win and double up, at 10bb left are these good enough odds to call regardless in a MTT where in order to get to the higher placings you need to keep your stack up?


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6 replies
Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

I can be the conservative guy here in this hand... but I dont like this shoving over an unknown MP. Always think it has more value wait a bit to find it out how he is actually playing (mistakes here are costly). If the raise was from late position, them this resteal seems better.


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scopinad
Joined: 13.06.2015

Ok to shove from SB with A7s at 13 bb effective. The villain miniraises so it is an open push, not calling an allin. If you have reads and think he is trapping then fold.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Against an unknown like this one I would shove here as well with A7s.
You have still decent fold equity. So I expect a shove is here +ev on long run.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

SDK1987, what range do u think MP is opening here as a standard? And what range he ll probably defend against our shove?


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ma6inata100
Joined: 03.07.2011

Against an unknown like this one I would shove here as well with A7s.
You have still decent fold equity. So I expect a shove is here +ev on long run.

I must disagree with you for this situation. With 10 bb i do not expect to have fold equity here. MP sees that the blinds are small stacks so he should have more open/call range than open/fold range in this situation if he is a normal player. With no info we should consider him as average player vs him i will shove : 88+ ATs+, AJo+ and KQs


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

Originally posted by ma6inata100

Against an unknown like this one I would shove here as well with A7s.
You have still decent fold equity. So I expect a shove is here +ev on long run.

I must disagree with you for this situation. With 10 bb i do not expect to have fold equity here. MP sees that the blinds are small stacks so he should have more open/call range than open/fold range in this situation if he is a normal player. With no info we should consider him as average player vs him i will shove : 88+ ATs+, AJo+ and KQs

And I must agree totally w ma6inata100 here.
The BB has just 6,6bbs left C'mon... Do u guys think he is raise/folding this spot often for this hero shove to be +EV?

The range ma6 provided is totally honest too.


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