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Calling River Raise?

9 Posts
8 Users
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bertosi1991
Joined: 08.02.2010

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $14.39 (143.9 bb)
BB: $7.77 (77.7 bb)
UTG: $6.91 (69.1 bb)
MP: $9.56 (95.6 bb)
CO: $11.95 (119.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $10.41 (104.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, 2 folds

Flop: ($1.05) A 5 Q (3 players)
MP checks, CO checks, Hero bets $0.66, MP calls $0.66, CO calls $0.66

Turn: ($3.03) 7 (3 players)
MP checks, CO checks, Hero bets $1.70, MP calls $1.70, CO folds

River: ($6.43) 2 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $3.70, MP raises to $6.90 and is all-in, Hero calls $3.20

Results:

Spoiler

$20.23 pot ($0.91 rake)
Final Board: A 5 Q 7 2
MP showed 5 5 and won $19.32 ($9.76 net)
Hero mucked Q A and lost (-$9.56 net)

My opinion: Given the River odds, i have to be correct about 16% of the time to call.. His range after raise: A5s, AQo, AQs, 55, according to Equity calc. i have 50% equity agains that range.. So my call is profitable in the long run? Your thoughts please? :f_wink:


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8 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Make a squeeze preflop.
Bet bigger on turn and push river. :)


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

Agree this is a good spot to squeeze. MP seems to be a fish, and CO by just calling rarely is strong here.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Even my puny squeeze instincts trigger here. This must mean that it is the easiest squeeze spot in the world.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Sqz pre, you can go a bit bigger OTT and shove OTR. As played easy call imo.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

With this bet size on river we cannot fold...


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oI2ange
Joined: 21.07.2015

Agreed with squeezing PF and I would just shove the river yourself. Making it a bit larger on the turn makes a river shove a bit easier as well.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Agreed with the above. Squeeze, bet bigger, we cannot fold river :)


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Originally posted by oI2ange
Agreed with squeezing PF and I would just shove the river yourself. Making it a bit larger on the turn makes a river shove a bit easier as well.

Originally posted by Hesticus
Agreed with the above. Squeeze, bet bigger, we cannot fold river :)

These guys have it right.


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