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sunday million satelite $1.5 3xturbo bubble

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tamamo
Joined: 20.10.2010

Poker Stars, $1.50 Buy-in (40,000/80,000 blinds, 8,000 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 751,742 (9.4 bb)
Hero (BB): 992,030 (12.4 bb)
UTG: 684,405 (8.6 bb)
MP: 1,191,260 (14.9 bb)
CO: 333,022 (4.2 bb)
BTN: 583,194 (7.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A K
4 folds, SB raises to 743,742 and is all-in, Hero calls 663,742

Flop: (1,535,484) 4 3 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (1,535,484) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (1,535,484) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

1,535,484 pot
Final Board: 4 3 9 2 J
SB showed 3 4 and won 1,535,484 (783,742 net)
Hero showed A K and lost (-751,742 net)

8seat 12players remain
my position 2/12 9th-12th players have around 350-400k
Should I fold AKo?


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5 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Villain has less than 10BB left. I think you have to call here.


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ZakYoun270
Joined: 10.12.2015

the thing is how much value does another 800,000 k chips give you? you go from 80% to win a seat to 85%. or 70-75%? or from 80-95%? I'm not really sure it's worth risking it. Not when we can still 'steal the blinds' with a strong hand or just fold til 4 guys left.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I think it’s not worth the risk at all with so many short stacks left.
If you don’t play a hand at all you will pretty much always reach ITM.
So this would be even a spot you need to fold AA against the SB around the bubble of a satellite.

If the SB isn’t sure that the BB could fold hands like this it’s for him also a -$ev spot.
So if you call the other players of the tournament are the real winners of the hand.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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tamamo
Joined: 20.10.2010

thanks for reveiw.
if my stack is 400k,500k,600k how wide my calling range ?


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

In that case the SB is covering us and then I would only considering a call if we would have 400k or less and we would have a 7th position or lower in the ranking. Otherwise I wouldn’t have any calling range at all. Folding ITM would be my strategy than.


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