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flush vs river shove

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ferdhy5
Joined: 21.04.2014

$0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem
8886 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
Stacks:
UTG ($4.95) 99bb
UTG+1 ($6.42) 128bb
CO ($5.84) 117bb
BTN Hero ($5) 100bb
SB ($5.02) 100bb
BB ($6.65) 133bb VP: 32; PR: 19.5; AF: 1.85 (119 hands)
Pre-Flop: (0.07, 6 players) Hero is BTN 9♦: K♦:

3 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10

Flop: 3♦: A♣: 8♦: ($0.32, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.21, BB raises to $0.52, Hero calls $0.31
Turn: 4♦: ($1.36, 2)
BB bets $0.73, Hero raises to $2.21, BB calls $1.48
River: A♠: ($5.78, 2)
BB bets $3.09, Hero?

When villain raises OTF I decide to call as the size is rather small.
The second ace appears OTR and he shoves; it looks like he's got a full house. Worse flushes seem unlikely. But I've invested more than half my stack...
What do you think guys? Can I call here?


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6 replies
Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I don't think you can call here unfortunately. People don't raise OTF and/or call a raise OTT with only 1 pair before giving a decent bet OTR. I think you play against a very tight range here and your equity is too low. If villain checked it might have been a different story because you want to target hands in this case.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Push turn.
As played, you cannot call. Paired board, not nutted hand...


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tiltmonk
Joined: 02.07.2014

1) your opponent is capped
2) so, he mostly has weeak ace and small pairs.
3) XR on the flop is done mostly with 2p+, so that is what he does - XR + BET
4) Yes, i think you have to shove the turn. (you provided him the correct pot odds for calling with a set)
5) I don't think you should calling here bcs your opponent still could have AdXd. Fold


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

The pot odds (3:1) are good. Simply saying that "villain never bluffs" and "villain is not stupid enough to value bet AK/AQ etc" is making things too easy. It is close. You should take the matter to Equilab after assigning a range to him. (Well, if that range is 100% hands that beat you, don't bother, but such a range just isn't right.) You need only a little over 25% equity to call.


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Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009

Push the turn. This river has to be a fold. T

he only combos we beat are weaker flushes and we still loose against nut flush which is definitely in his range.


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ferdhy5
Joined: 21.04.2014

Thanks, guys. I called and he showed A8. Now it looks so obvious that it was a fold. I hope one day I will learn. :f_frown:


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