PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $26.75 (VPIP: 14.89, PFR: 10.64, 3Bet Preflop: 5.17, Hands: 148)
SB: $25.00 (VPIP: 22.53, PFR: 16.48, 3Bet Preflop: 9.76, Hands: 189)
BB: $28.35 (VPIP: 55.56, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
UTG: $30.71 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
Hero (MP): $27.08
CO: $38.54 (VPIP: 21.21, PFR: 15.15, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has 7♣ 9♣
fold, Hero raises to $0.62, CO calls $0.62, BTN calls $0.62, fold, BB calls $0.37
Flop: ($2.58, 4 players) 7♦ 4♣ 2♠
BB checks, Hero bets $1.40, CO calls $1.40, fold, fold
Turn: ($5.38, 2 players) J♥
Hero checks, CO checks
River: ($5.38, 2 players) 4♦
Hero checks, CO bets $2.25
No reads on Villain. From his stats he looks on the tighter side. Therefore probably more the ABC-Style reg / more honest player.
Pre I open, it's in my standard range.
OTF: I went for the cbet to protect my hand. Just in case I can make twopair or increase to a backdoorflush. I'd probably also barrell any 
here.
BTN could call the flop cbet with a range of:
JJ-77,44,22,87s,65s,A5s,A3s
Going to the turn: What is he checking with? I assume, unless he's a recreational player, he would bet most of his sets, and checks middlepairs and worse.
The river:
Now, his play doesn't make a lot of sense to me. But he's probably on some middle PP type of hand that sees value vs. 7x ? If we remove all the set combos from his turn checking range:
Board: 7♦4♣2♠ J♥ 4♦
Equity Win Tie
MP2 50.00% 46.15% 3.85% { TT, 88, A5s, A3s, 87s, 65s }
MP3 50.00% 46.15% 3.85% { 9c7c }
We actually have a call.
What do you guys think of my analysis, and is it appropriate to assume hands like A5s for him to be calling pre with the given preflop stats?
