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KK on QTK

7 Posts
6 Users
2 Reactions
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StVatle
Joined: 24.11.2014

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $7.60 (152 bb)
BB: $5.13 (102.6 bb)
UTG: $4.92 (98.4 bb)
MP: $10.19 (203.8 bb)
CO: $8.36 (167.2 bb)
BTN: $7.09 (141.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K♦: K♥:
2 folds, CO raises to $0.10, BTN calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.60, BB folds, CO calls $0.50, BTN folds

Flop: ($1.35) Q♦: T♣: K♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.64, CO raises to $1.95, Hero raises to $7, CO calls $5.05

Turn: ($15.35) 9♠: (2 players)
River: ($15.35) 5♥: (2 players)

Results:

Spoiler

$15.35 pot ($0.64 rake)
Final Board: Q♦: T♣: K♠: 9♠: 5♥:
Hero showed K♦: K♥: and lost (-$7.60 net)
CO showed J♥: A♦: and won $14.71 ($7.11 net)

Hi guys!
Should I play this hand differently, maybe just call the raise on the flop? Opponent was fishy, in 95 hands: VPIP/PFR 51/21, F3bet/3bet 0/15,2 , Raise flop cbet 17.

Thanks!


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6 replies
SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

I think vs such fish its nice. He can pay of with lot of worse hands - sets, 2 pairs. Raise flop cbet stat probably does not have much sample.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Well, one thing that bothers me is that we are deep. Second is that villain does not raise much on flop but samplemay not be relevant.
I am not sure if we can stack that deep. If we were 100bb it is ok.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Pretty hefty but I'd raise here too for value as weaker hands can call


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I think it's fine, even 150bb deep. I don't want to fold, but I also don't want to see A, J or 9 OTT. Even if he has AJ (J9 is less likelly imo), we can still catch the best hand by the river.


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SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

Vs optimistic range we are crushing:

Board:

Equity Win Tie
MP2 64.55% 63.50% 1.04% KdKh
MP3 35.45% 34.41% 1.04% AA, QQ, TT, AJs, KQs, KTs, QTs, T9s, AJo, KQo, KTo, QTo, J9o

Vs pesimistic:

Board:

Equity Win Tie
MP2 35.16% 34.41% 0.75% KdKh
MP3 64.84% 64.09% 0.75% AJs, J9s, AJo, J9o

we are ok.

We need at least 41% equity. If we add QQ and TT to pesimistic range, we have 44 %.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

With top set and 7 + 10 outs to redraw to the (almost) nuts we aren't thinking about anything else than stacking off.

If we just call on the flop it would be $5.25 in the pot and we'd have $5.10 left. It is a mathematical stack off, at least very close to it, even if we knew somehow he flopped a straight.


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