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AK with FD in 3-bet pot

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StVatle
Joined: 24.11.2014

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $15.86 (158.6 bb)
BB: $11.94 (119.4 bb)
Hero (UTG): $10.35 (103.5 bb)
MP: $8.71 (87.1 bb)
CO: $18.94 (189.4 bb)
BTN: $10 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K♠: A♦:
Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BTN raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.70

Flop: ($2.15) J♦: K♦: 5♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60

Turn: ($5.35) 8♦: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $7.40 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.40

River: ($20.15) 2♥: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$20.15 pot ($0.91 rake)
Final Board: J♦: K♦: 5♠: 8♦: 2♥:
Hero showed K♠: A♦: and lost (-$10 net)
BTN showed A♣: A♠: and won $19.24 ($9.24 net)

Hi guys!
Should I just fold the turn all day long?

Thanks!


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11 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I don't see many bluffs in his range. But we block flushes, KK and AA. And we have a nut flush draw..
To call this bet we need 36% equity and against this range: KK+, JJ, AKs, AKo, we have 39%.

Villain might not play all AK like this but anyway I think it is close to break even to call here. Both calling and folding seem ok to me.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Look close to me, but I would vote for folding. We most likelly have just 8 outs (all diamonds except 5d).


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Sorry, misread board (again).


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tiltmonk
Joined: 02.07.2014

I think there is an interesting note here
1) Your opponent 3b you with 4X Preflop.
2) Your opponent shoves turn - actually it is your range capped and most players would call preflop with suited hands OOP, so you missed your draw, but you opponent's range is still uncapped. I think by the line he choosed - I would not see many bluffs in his range, so he mostly would play AA,KK,KJs, JJ(but not sure JJ would 3b UTG). Anyway, I think we most of the time making zero based call or even negative EV call. Just fold turn or 4b fold preflop.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

We can fold vs the overbet.


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oI2ange
Joined: 21.07.2015

For those that are folding, what are you calling here with? Realistically, this is probably one of the highest hands in our range. We probably 4-bet KK, so we don't have sets. 55, we're likely folding PF. So we have JJ for sets and we have *some* flushes like maybe AJdd/AQdd/AKdd as better hands. AdKx here is fairly high in our range and I think we should call this turn bet. Also, I don't think the overbet on the turn is much of a consideration given the SPR.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

With nut flush. :)


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Mandator
Joined: 02.02.2008

Such a strong line you are facing.... I think is a fold OTT, I don't see any bluff here and you only beat KQ.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

We don't have to call anything just because our hand is the top of our range. My experience tells me that villain doesn't have many bluffs here and at best this will be around break even call on the long run. Calling is fine but we can avoid variance and just fold too.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Calling is not fine. We cannot call an overbet here.


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pisiattu
Joined: 01.04.2010

you have Ad, he hasnt bluff here, i fold


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