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Should i have turned this tptk into a bluff?

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zammar96
Joined: 07.02.2013

PokerStars - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $1.52 (VPIP: 58.33, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
SB: $11.42 (VPIP: 24.44, PFR: 18.20, 3Bet Preflop: 9.03, Hands: 812)
BB: $7.89 (VPIP: 54.55, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
UTG: $5.85 (VPIP: 10.99, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 183)
Hero (UTG+1): $10.00
MP: $14.02 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
MP+1: $10.00 (VPIP: 17.10, PFR: 12.16, 3Bet Preflop: 4.28, Hands: 1,346)
MP+2: $10.00 (VPIP: 17.67, PFR: 13.05, 3Bet Preflop: 6.91, Hands: 876)
CO: $10.00 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♦ Q♦

fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, MP+2 raises to $0.90, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.95, 2 players) 6♠ 8♦ J♦
Hero checks, MP+2 bets $1.33, Hero raises to $2.90, MP+2 calls $1.57

Turn: ($7.75, 2 players) Q♣
Hero checks, MP+2 checks

River: ($7.75, 2 players) 4♠
Hero checks, MP+2 checks

Hero shows A♦ Q♦ (One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 32%, Flop 44%, Turn 30%)
MP+2 shows K♥ K♦ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 68%, Flop 56%, Turn 70%)
MP+2 wins $7.40

When he called flop i was almost sure he had AA,KK,QQ . Would it be better to go for a bluff here or check for value like a did ?


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5 replies
Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I think we can just check/call the flop. I don't see alot of better hands folding and I don't think our hand is strong enough to raise for value. For the same reason I wouldn't bet the turn with TPTK. If we bet, we will get called mostly by better hands (he doesn't have alot of draws himself considering his preflop range, imo). I like turn and river check. Maybe we can put a small bet OTR, targetting AJ. I don't think KK+ is folding at any point often enough so I don't see a reason for bluffing with TPTK. True that it fits perfectly into his flop and turn range, but in reality we won't have alot of fold equity, at least it's my opinion. So I would just check and hope for a showdown (probably call a small bet), expecting to be good enough relatively often.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Pot is already big and semi-bluff xr is making it even bigger. We can xc and see the turn.
Make a note on this one.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I would (probably ever) not raise this OTF. We are oop, it´s been 3bet preflop... Just call 2 streets :).


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tiltmonk
Joined: 02.07.2014

Huh, I guess my nitty nature would fold pre. MP 3b vs UTG, so he most probably has QQ+,AK, 89s,T9s and we are oop. I guess we are dominated and goint to play oop vs strong range...


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I would either bluff 4bet this pre or fold. I think this plays badly OOP in a 3bet pot.
OTF I think raising is bad.


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