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OESD big pot

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angalius
Joined: 10.11.2011

Pacific, $2.70 Buy-in (10/20 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 1,166 (58.3 bb)
Hero (BB): 1,500 (75 bb)
UTG+1: 1,622 (81.1 bb)
UTG+2: 1,500 (75 bb)
MP1: 1,500 (75 bb)
MP2: 1,977 (98.9 bb)
MP3: 1,285 (64.3 bb)
CO: 1,490 (74.5 bb)
BTN: 1,460 (73 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q♠: T♥:
2 folds, MP1 raises to 60, MP2 calls 60, MP3 calls 60, 2 folds, SB calls 50, Hero calls 40

Flop: (300) 4♦: J♥: 9♣: (5 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP1 bets 220, MP2 calls 220, MP3 folds, SB calls 220, Hero ?

What is the optimal play here ?


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3 replies
Okkernootje
Joined: 02.09.2013

Pre is fine given the odds and the fact that we are closing action.

OTF we can safely asume we have 0 (zero) fold equity. I would especially give the IR credit for a legit hand, since he probably will not be very light betting against/into 4 other players. Sizing suggest an overpair very often or at least AJ. I'd expect JJ or 99 to bet a bit smaller, but we can't rule out those possibilities offcourse (i'd say 99,JJ-AA),. I don't really give the other callers a very strong range any more. Jx and 9x make sense, better would have raise imo.

I'd call and evaluate turn. With all of the dead money involved I don't think shoving is bad either.


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vlzvl
Joined: 17.03.2014

Calling Preflop is pretty good as you see a flop cheaply enough.
On Flop technically you have the odds to call (borderline), however you invest about 15% of you stack.

Early stages lost blinds can be a hit later where you wouldn't have them the moment you need them the most: pushing.

Here, we're early stage, our equity is about 35-37% to River and i don't think you have pretty good fold equity here. I think that because it's abnormal for several players calling this much. If they call that, someone will call your push as well and even a made bottom pair have about same equity with your OESD. With this kind of aggression, i just fold. I would consider shoving with a combo draw like OESD + Pair or OESD + Flush. However with all the fishes still in the game i would fold. My equity is not big and i need to enhance it with fold equity which i don't have. Calling is a matter of how aggro are your opponents post-flop. If you think they're raising, what do you think will happen on Turn?


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

You get decent odds to call on the flop in a multi way pot like this to hit 1 of our 8 outs. if you miss the turn there is a change you will get a cheap river card, but most of the time you need to give up.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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