PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
UTG: $10.43 (104 bb)
MP: $13.73 (137 bb)
CO: $12.31 (123 bb)
BU: $12.61 (126 bb)
SB (Hero): $10.41 (104 bb)
BB: $8.02 (80 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with K♦ K♠
1 fold, MP raises to $0.30, 2 players fold, Hero 3-bets to $1, 1 fold, MP calls $0.70
Flop: ($2.10) 3♥ T♥ 4♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $1.01, MP calls $1.01
Turn: ($4.12) 8♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, MP calls $2.50
River: ($9.12) T♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $5.90 (all-in), MP calls $5.90
Villain: 26/21, 81 hands, reasonably aggressive, WTSD 50%
Preflop: MP flatting range I think is something like AQ, AJs, KQs, QJs, JTs, JJ-88. or something like that. I expect him to 4bet QQ+, AK. (preflop 48 combos)
So, his flop calling range include some FD's and 88-JJ. Here TT might raise actually. So, I get good value and also a little FE from AQ and other suited broadways which didn't connect.
(CALL = JJ-88, JTs, AdQd, AhQh, KdQd, KhQh, AdJd, AhJh, KdJd, KhJh, QdJd, QhJh - 38 combos)
My EQ = 78% if he calls with backdoor FD's, but 74% if's he calls with regular FD's.
Turn: Villain's range = JJ,99,JTs,AhQh,KhQh,AhJh,KhJh,QhJh. I removed sets, because I expect him to raise it. They usually do.
My Turn EQ = 88%.
River: My plan is to Jam any river, because if I check then Villain gets to either check back his JJ and 99 and value bet Tx and flushes, but when I bet I keep those 99 and JJ under pressure to call down especially if flush draws miss OTR.
Question: Do you like cbet flop, x/r shove turn here? Or is that just giving a card away? I think I could do that to turn floaters.
