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NL 16 folding set on the flop

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jimecek
Joined: 13.09.2011

PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.08/$0.16 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $59.39 (371 bb)
MP: $23.60 (148 bb)
CO (Hero): $20.01 (125 bb)
BU: $16.37 (102 bb)
SB: $7.20 (45 bb)
BB: $18.05 (113 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.24) Hero is CO with 4 4
UTG raises to $0.48, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.48, 2 players fold, BB calls $0.32

Flop: ($1.52) 8 J 4 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $0.90, Hero raises to $2.60, BB calls $2.60, UTG raises to $58.91 (all-in), CO (Hero) folds, BB calls $14.97 (all-in)

Turn: ($39.26) T (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($39.26) 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $39.26 (Rake: $1.50)

Showdown:

Spoiler

UTG shows 8 8 (three of a kind, Eights)

(Equity - Pre-Flop: 80%, Flop: 66%, Turn: 23%, River: 0%)

Spoiler

BB shows 6 5 (a flush, Jack high)

(Equity - Pre-Flop: 20%, Flop: 34%, Turn: 77%, River: 100%)

BB wins $37.76

Its close but i posted there some same spot and u said me i must raised 3rd sets, but can he shoves only sets ? Its sick becouse bb excepting FD


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3 replies
DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

I'd call. There are a ton of drawy hands he could be shipping over the top here.


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jimecek
Joined: 13.09.2011

Originally posted by DecMate
I'd call. There are a ton of drawy hands he could be shipping over the top here.

JJ,88,AhKh,AhQh,KhQh,AhTh,QhTh,Th9h,Ah8h,9h8h,9h7h,Ah5h,Ah3h,Ah2h

to this range i have 48% and i think he shoves much less suited hands. Open every Axs ? Yeah he can shove T9hh becouse want fold bigger FD. To this range JJ,88,AhKh,AhQh,KhQh,AhTh,Th9h,Ah8h,9h8h is 40% and i think a lots of Ax draws can call becouse can folded smaller draw and that he dont want.


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KatalonacX
Joined: 22.11.2013

Hard decision,maybe I would fold OTF, if BB 3bet.You don't put QQ+ in UTG range,nobody stack off with those hands at NL10,16?


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