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(FR) AKo - T2P vs raise IP OTT

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

No reads on him.

$0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players

MP: 103.5 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 7)
MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.19, PFR: 2.47, 3Bet Preflop: 1.60, Hands: 492)
MP+2: 221.5 BB (VPIP: 36.84, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 19)
CO: 60 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
BTN: 105 BB (VPIP: 29.38, PFR: 13.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 163)
SB: 88 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 7.19, 3Bet Preflop: 2.33, Hands: 154)
UTG: 87 BB (VPIP: 71.43, PFR: 57.14, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 7)
Hero (UTG+1): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♥ K♣

fold, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, MP+2 calls 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (11.5 BB, 2 players) 2♠ 2♦ K♠
Hero bets 7.5 BB, MP+2 calls 7.5 BB

Turn: (26.5 BB, 2 players) A♠
Thoughts:

Spoiler

I could swear I was up against a flush on this turn.
A trips would've given me action OTF and a slowplayed trips would've just called OTT, I think.
I couldn't think in any worst hands that would give me action here (maybe AQo with Q of spades or AJo).
I almost folded.

Hero bets 14 BB, MP+2 raises to 28 BB, Hero calls 14 BB

River: (82.5 BB, 2 players) A♣
Thoughts:

Spoiler

I believe I'd folded a unimproved hand, if villain had cbetted 1/2 pot of more.
But with an improved hand, which worst hands are going to pay a donk-bet here and how big should that dbet be? Should I go for a check/raise?
I think any non-flush hand is going to fold to a dbet of any size. The same goes true for any hand that is not a Ax or 2x.
A Q-high flush or a J-high flush may pay a dbet of 1/2 pot, but I'm not sure about any worst flushes than that.
I believe a shove may be called by Ax hands. Not sure about any of the other ones.

Hero bets 36 BB, MP+2 calls 36 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows A♥ K♣ (Full House, Aces full of Kings)
(Pre 75%, Flop 83%, Turn 100%)
MP+2 mucks K♥ T♣ (Two Pair, Aces and Kings)
(Pre 25%, Flop 17%, Turn 0%)
Hero wins 145 BB


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It looks like a flush on the turn for sure, but I would most likely check to the raiser on the river and give him rope to bet again and shove. This way you get sometimes all the chips in the middle.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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