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[NL5] 76s hits OESD ip – bluff or cb?

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MrQNo
Joined: 30.09.2006
Spoiler

IPoker, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $4 (100 bb)
BB: $2.36 (59 bb)
UTG: $9.87 (246.8 bb)
MP: $4 (100 bb)
CO: $3.29 (82.3 bb)
Hero (BTN): $6.53 (163.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5♣: 6♣:
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.10, CO calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.36) 7♦: 4♥: Q♣: (3 players)
MP checks, CO checks, Hero ?

Preflop: CO is a 100/25 whale (ok, after 10 hands, but he showed already 62o at SD). MP has adapted raises a lot of hands 2,5 bb to play with CO. I want to get in with the whale and have good pot odds with 2 opponents, further i have best position postflop. Both player still to play are not overly aggressive, and if s.o. 3bets Aces, i still have good odds in the family pot. Call.

Flop: an ideal cbet-flop, but MP does without. Till now, the whale showed initiative with strong hands or senseless bluffs. i hit the OESD, so i have equity, but no SD value. Bet or Check? I have 6 high and probably the weakest hand, but on this flop i have huge fold equity even against 2 opponents, that speaks in favour of the semibluff. If i hit the straight, it’s not obvious, and i have good implieds, that speaks in favour of the check. Which line is max EV?


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2 replies
Mactece
Joined: 26.10.2016

I don't think you have as much fold equity as you would like and the whale is likely to call with 3rd pair or any 2 that he likes the look of from what you said. However betting gives you initiative and will probably isolate the whale. You can barrel any card on the turn and may improve as any club is also good for you. There's probably no point in firing a third barrel if you miss on the river if you think he calls any bet.
You need him to fold most of the time tho or you will expect to lose money compared to taking the free card


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xiaohetao
Joined: 29.05.2018

Bet otf. Bet again if the better player folds and you hit a pair or fd. Check behind if no improvement otr.


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