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JJ on double paired flushboard - turn it into bluff on the river?

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clovenhoofsdoom
Joined: 04.03.2016

Dear Readers,

I played this hand with JJ, which I called preflop in MP. UTG is a 16/14 NIT over 400 hands and does cbet 82% (82% of 11 cases), compared to his 15% EP RFI (19% overall RFI) this still seems pretty wide. When he check-calls

His range probably hardly connects with the Flop, so I decided to float the Turn small, which should be sufficient to get rid of most of his range. When he calls, this might be some lower pockets, some flushdraws, and of course he can do it with his fullhouses and quads as well. So there's no reason to bet river, right? I guess, since he's pretty nitty I could get him to fold some of his flushes and of course the weaker hands if I bet large, but since I have sd-value, why should I bet? Would you do it in this spot? Would you bet Turn large?

On a sidenote: sick, how slow even Flop stats evolve

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Converted at http://handhistoryconverter.com

UTG ($5.09)
Hero (MP) ($5.31)
CO ($5.54)
Button ($5.45)
SB ($5.50)
BB ($2.21)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J, J
UTG raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.37) 2, 7, 2 (2 players)
UTG bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

Turn: ($0.87) 7 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.30, UTG calls $0.30

River: ($1.47) K (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Total pot: $1.47 | Rake: $0.06

Results:

Spoiler

UTG had A, K (two pair, Kings and sevens).
Hero didn't show J, J (nothing).
Outcome: UTG won $1.41


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2 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think the hand is well played. OTF definitely call with an overpair. OTT when he checks he most likely isn't super strong, I think betting small is just fine to get some value from his smaller pockets and some overcards might call also. So you manage to get value from those and at the same time you don't give a free card because A,K,Q could be bad for you. I think betting the turn makes your river play also easier. Now OTR I think it is a check behind. You have showdown value and betting big would be kind of turning your hand into a bluff.


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clovenhoofsdoom
Joined: 04.03.2016

Indeed, you're right. I understand the point you make :)


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