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BB vs UTG, SRP, Straight, Range UTG??

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MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

Yeah beside raising a little bigger on the flop nothing much to do here. Just a cooler.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Defending seems a little bit loose out of position, but the rest of the hand seems alright to me with the straight.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

3bet pre OOP. You can even 4bet this combo.
Flop raise is fine. No slowplay.
Cant fold this hand. Ever. Shove, call do whatever you want.


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AthleticAZ
Joined: 19.09.2009

Let's explore the river bet. When you x/r a flop and bet OTT there won't be many AK hands that happily call OTT, except AcKc.

1. Pessimistic range
Villain has: boats and bigger straight with 76s, also A2s, only 1 combo of AcKc and AA. Btw, AA in this range already might be loose, but people don't like folding AA, so it's fine (maybe).

Board: 4♦5♣3♣ 3♥ K♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    73.81%  66.67%   7.14% { KK+, 55-33, A2s, 76s, AcKc }
BB     26.19%  19.05%   7.14% { As2s }

As you can see, we have 22% equity and can't value bet if this range is true.

2. Slightly more optimistic range
Added all AK (which shouldn't likely call OTT).

Board: 4♦5♣3♣ 3♥ K♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    53.45%  48.28%   5.17% { KK+, 55-33, AKs, A2s, 76s, AKo }
BB     46.55%  41.38%   5.17% { As2s }

Now you have 46% equity, but we need 50% + to value bet.

3. Somewhat optimistic range without AK, but added QQ and JJ.
I kept AcKc ofc.

Board: 4♦5♣3♣ 3♥ K♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    46.97%  42.42%   4.55% { JJ+, 55-33, A2s, 76s, AcKc }
BB     53.03%  48.48%   4.55% { As2s }

This seems to be a value bet with 53% equity. Quite close, though. We still have to pay rake and lose some of the value.

Conclusion: If opponent is someone on the tighter side you don't have a value bet. It's not like I'd be super happy to call down with QQ, where you have all the boats and straights.
Look:

Board: 4♦5♣3♣ 3♥ K♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    51.47%  51.47%   0.00% { QQ }
BB     48.53%  48.53%   0.00% { 55-33, 76s, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, JcTc, Ac9c, Kc9c, Qc9c, Jc9c, Tc9c, Ac8c, Kc8c, Qc8c, Jc8c, Tc8c, 9c8c, Ac7c, 9c7c, 8c7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, As2s }

You would have to over bluff a lot as well.

NB! Villain might or might not have 33-55 preflop. It depends.


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AthleticAZ
Joined: 19.09.2009

Ooops, made a mistake with QQ. I would need you to bluff with 7-8 combos of busted Acxc, f.e. to call down.


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MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

About preflop : folding A2s BB vs MP (if I read well the positions) against 2,5x is out of the question. 3betting is possible but often overplay. There is nothing wrong with calling that combo pre, really.

About postflop (river) : interesting point by AthleticAZ but I'd be on the optimistic side of the force for the ranges. Then again I could have to rethink that.


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