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NL16 6Max, AQs on Hj, tough spot

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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

UTG is a tag.
BTN is 34/24/af4.0 3B:4.5 85 hands

Is BTN raising with 8x or made hand of KQ(some combos which I block)?

Turn play is probably questionable.

K on river is best but 8 on river also may be good enough.

So 8 on river is not as good thus bet/fold?

PokerStars - $0.16 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 100 BB
UTG: 129.31 BB
Hero (MP): 101.75 BB
CO: 104.63 BB
BTN: 112.88 BB
SB: 215.13 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ Q♣

UTG raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold, BTN calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (9 BB, 3 players) 9♥ 7♠ T♣
UTG checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: (9 BB, 3 players) J♦
UTG bets 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, BTN raises to 15 BB, fold, Hero calls 12.5 BB

River: (41.5 BB, 2 players) 8♥
Hero bets 30.94 BB, BTN raises to 95.38 BB and is all-in, Hero ???

Thoughts?


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7 replies
zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

I usually 3bet this preflop vs UTG.
Flop ok, check-back and realize your equity instead of ruining it.
You need around 30% equity OTT to call and I'm not sure if you have it (pot odds I'll let you calculate them, it's a good exercise). BTN usually (I meant always, I'm sorry) has a str8 here when he raises 3-way, so your overcards may be dead. That's why I'd fold turn. There's implied odds when you hit the K and he has an 8, but still.
The river lead is very face up with that size, so I'd go smaller. I like the lead though because that board goes check/check very often OTR. As played, you hit your card so all the chips in the middle and don't worry about KQ.


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on the river your calling for a chop at least 60% of the time? and he may be bluffing about 30% of the time, and kq like 10%? its deffo a profitable call otr


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by RngJoker
on the river your calling for a chop at least 60% of the time? and he may be bluffing about 30% of the time, and kq like 10%? its deffo a profitable call otr

If he is counterfeited then yes, he has reasons to bluff/shove on river.


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by zetozinho
I usually 3bet this preflop vs UTG.

You certainly could but AQs overplay is a leak of mine. In fact, it's the only hand among premium range that is in red numbers.

So, I'm trying to do things differently here. If I 3bet pre here I highly doubt that the lag on BTN will fold his hand though.


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i guess small block bets are a great way too induce bluff raises,
AQ would probably be a 3 bet tho as villain probably dosent have a 4bet range with worse


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Dragar
Joined: 09.09.2008

Why not check call river as Button is showing aggression on turn?
We are splitting so many times that it does not matter, I don't think we are loosing value as if he would not have any kind of hand he would have just called the turn.


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by Dragar
Why not check call river as Button is showing aggression on turn?
We are splitting so many times that it does not matter, I don't think we are loosing value as if he would not have any kind of hand he would have just called the turn.

I thought of that. Check calling river, however, if he raised turn with 8x for a straight then we risk a check back from him on river. That is why it is very difficult not to lead on river when we make a higher straight to the board.


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