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Set, obvious draw turn, SPR smaller than 1.5x, still shove?

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$0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

BB: 69.4 BB
UTG: 142.8 BB
MP: 101.5 BB
CO: 85.5 BB
BTN: 105.7 BB
Hero (SB): 100 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♥ K♣

UTG raises to 2.5 BB, fold, CO calls 2.5 BB, fold, Hero raises to 13 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 10.5 BB

Flop: (29.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣ K♦ 9♥
Hero bets 20.2 BB, CO calls 20.2 BB

Turn: (69.9 BB, 2 players) T♠
Hero bets 66.8 BB and is all-in, CO calls 52.3 BB and is all-in

River: (174.5 BB, 2 players) 5♦

Hero shows K♥ K♣ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 91%, Flop 86%, Turn 24%)
CO shows J♣ K♠ (Straight, King High)
(Pre 9%, Flop 14%, Turn 76%)
CO wins 174.5 BB

I felt stupid. But this is a 3 bet pot and checking river while villain goes allin. me folding set? I think when we trust our reads we should follow up on it. Of course you can not always be right. But it was clear that opponent got a J for the str8 in his hand. Yes I can still catch the boat 22% but not have any of that if I decide to x-call!

What is the RIGHT thing to do in those spots?


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I'm not sure about this tbh it cant be to terrible though as the other option is what check fold the turn ? If we check the turn and villain jams we need 28% equity to make a profitable call and vs Jx with the straight we have 24% equity so were never really folding i don't think.It's just whether shoving is better than check calling and turning the hand in to a bluff catcher.It's possible villain can have some bluffs that they fold the turn with vs a jam although i'm not sure what.Pretty gross spot and i'm not sure what the best line is here as the shove is never really getting called by worse hands but then were kind of committed to the hand on the turn imo.Interesting spot though would be nice to hear other opinions.


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