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[PLO2] AAT2ss vs shortstacker + calling station

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

Apart from BU, villains are mostly unknown.

mp - VPIP 20 PFR 20 (6 hands)
bu - VPIP 50 PFR 0 (25 hands)
bb - VPIP 0 PRF 0 (5 hands)

$0.02 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 8.5 BB
UTG: 38 BB
CO: 171 BB
BTN: 101 BB
Hero (SB): 103 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ 2♦ A♣ T♥

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, BTN calls 2 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, BB calls 7.5 BB and is all-in, fold, BTN calls 7 BB

Thoughts

Spoiler

It's hard to assign ranges to those guys...

After the action, I'd say something along
BU: 50%!AA
BB: [JJ-KK]:xxyy,A[9-K][9-K][9-K]:xx!AA

Flop: (28.5 BB, 3 players) 6♥ Q♥ 5♦
Hero checks, BTN checks
Thoughts

Spoiler

I guess villain would probably bet here with any set or top2pair, even being so passive. So, I'd remove them from his range.
I think my hand still has SD value and I have a blocker to the flush. Should I cbet here?
My hand would hardly improve on the future streets and I'd have to fold to any action from villain.

At this point, I think his range would look like
BU: 50%!AA!QQ!66!55, including flush draws and str8 draws

Turn: (28.5 BB, 3 players) 8♥
Hero checks, BTN checks

Thoughts

Spoiler

Still unsure what to do here vs a calling station. Hard to believe I could make he fold anything on this board. Maybe weak 2pairs or a very weak set.

BU: 50%!AA!QQ!66!55, including baby flushes and str8s without flush blockers.

River: (28.5 BB, 3 players) 6♣

Thoughts

Spoiler

Is there any point of betting small here? It's a horrible runnout. I don't think I could get value from counterfeit 2pairs or make any str8 or flush to fold, unless I bet big.

After the action, I would say villain's range should look like
BU: 50%!AA!QQ!66!55!88, including baby flushes and str8s without flush blockers.

Hero checks, BTN checks

Spoiler

Hero shows A♦ 2♦ A♣ T♥ (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes)
(Pre 44%, Flop 29%, Turn 0%)
BB shows 7♥ A♠ Q♦ J♥ (Flush, Queen High)
(Pre 25%, Flop 52%, Turn 100%)
BTN shows 9♥ 2♠ 4♦ 9♠ (Two Pair, Nines and Sixes)
(Pre 31%, Flop 19%, Turn 0%)
BB wins 26.5 BB
Hero wins 1 BB


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2 replies
BradNitt
Joined: 22.07.2011

I think it's well played once again. The only spot where we could consider betting would be on the flop, in my opinion. With pure aces without hearts, we would check out of position and check-call with the backdoor flush draw, unless he's potting it. Then, I would fold already because very often we face another strong barrel when he starts betting big on the flop, and we have to check-fold the turn too often. On the turn or river, we would just be value owning ourselves by betting. Even if the button folds, we would still need to win at showdown against the big blind. Another reason why trying to pure bluff the button is not good for us is that we want to take the shortstacked player off the table or force him to rebuy, instead of keep playing with < 30 big blinds, which decreases our overall EV. Therefore, going three ways to showdown should be better.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

No point in betting at any point. It's empty side pot and in these spots our threshold for betting increase from normal situation. Also betting range needs to be equity driven as one player is already all-in. So no point in bluffing with blocker type low equity hand.


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