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[Closed] Kk

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Becks777
Joined: 04.03.2006

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
Hero ($100)
BB ($100)
CO ($67.40)
BTN ($70.41)

Dealt to Hero K♣ K♥

fold, BTN raises to $4, Hero raises to $14, fold, BTN calls $10

FLOP ($29) J♥ Q♣ Q♠

Hero bets $14, BTN calls $14

TURN ($57) J♥ Q♣ Q♠ A♦

Hero checks, BTN bets $42.41 (AI), Hero calls $42.41

RIVER ($141) J♥ Q♣ Q♠ A♦ 8♠

Villain: 30/16/2.2/32/fold to 3bet 31/call cbet 60/ 2.8 k h

Villain calls 60 % 3bets. Easy broke on the Turn. Do u think he often enough bluffs this Turn to make the call profitable?


2 replies
caltabiano
Joined: 09.03.2007

Well, I wouldn't expect somebody to bluff this spot very often. I mean, what does he call flop and bluffs river? I don't expect him to turn something like a J into a bluff here. There's no FD, and if he floated a straight draw, he now has either an A or the made straight.

So, unless you have a read, I don't like the c/c line. Depending on the opponent, you can shove to get value from a J. But I think I'd like ch turn and ship river better, because I expect him to always check back a J.

The problem is that there are very few J in his range that you beat. So on this turn card, I think I prefer a c/f without a read that he's floating total rubbish.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Agree with caltabiano.
There are almost no hands in his range that you beat, in fact he would have to have been calling the flop with air and now betting a card that hits your range pretty hard.
Since that's unlikely i think you can c/f the turn.