UTG is 22/17, 100 hands. SB is unknown, but seems fishy.
Preflop I mix calls and 3bets, but mostly calls against UTG opens.
Flop I decided to call IP. I don't think raising is better. UTG has all the strong Tx, JJ, JTs (I have them too), so raising to fold out AA, KK, QQ is not the way to go imo.
Turn I improve to 2pair and face a decent size bet. AA, KQ, AT got there. I don't think he folds KT, QT to a raise. AQ and AK are hands I beat, so there isn't much point in raising to fold this out. Decided to call again.
River complete the flush and he bets again.
I can still have some Tx (T9s, KTs, QTs) that can play this way. I don't think he has KK, QQ, AK or AQ when triple barreling.
All his bluffs, like 98s, 87s, 76s are now flushes.
I can't represent AA, JT or KQ with the turn call, so I don't have full-houses.
I wouldnt cc vs 3x or, i dont think its necessary at micros. Flop calling only. Turn i think might be already a fold due to villain lacking bluffs. As played fold r.
I think we can't fold to that river bet size. We need to be right less than 20%. He can absolutely play AKx, AQx like this as well as 98s (not of clubs). I might be wrong, especially if villain never bluffs, but I think it's reasonable to call here. The rest seems wp.
Hands like AK and AQ should be extreme thin value bets on the river I think and if he would do that it's the only value hands you beat. 98s is a loose open and not sure why he would bet this on the turn and is folding river not that bad.
Cheers,
SDK1987
Originally posted by SDK1987
Hands like AK and AQ should be extreme thin value bets on the river I think and if he would do that it's the only value hands you beat. 98s is a loose open and not sure why he would bet this on the turn and is folding river not that bad.Cheers,
SDK1987
You're right. He also may not even play them like this on the flop because it hits his opponents' ranges. My opinion was garbage.
WP