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Facing a river XR with a weak flush

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kevin2001
Joined: 14.02.2009

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $9.90 (99 bb)
BB: $12.13 (121.3 bb)
UTG: $10.15 (101.5 bb)
Hero (MP): $11.40 (114 bb)
CO: $12.65 (126.5 bb)
BTN: $3.32 (33.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with T 8
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.30, CO folds, BTN calls $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.95) 5 4 2 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.55, BTN folds, BB calls $0.55

Turn: ($2.05) 8 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.25, BB calls $1.25

River: ($4.55) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.65, BB raises to $10.03, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$9.85 pot ($0.44 rake)
Final Board: 5 4 2 8 9
BB mucked and won $9.41 ($4.66 net)
Hero mucked T 8 and lost (-$4.75 net)

Villain is an unknown playing 20/0 over 11 hands, Can i call here getting 2.5 to 1? I think im likely beat here but not sure since im new to NL10 6max zoom. Thanks in advance!:f_drink:


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6 replies
MJPerry
Joined: 03.10.2011

I don't give an unknown at NL10 credit to be check-raise bluffing with AdTh here. On top of that, there are very few combos of lower flushes - he can't have 97dd, 86dd, etc.

Pretty clear fold imo, we're facing the nut flush or something like KQdd almost always.


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kriko92
Joined: 16.11.2010

Seems like a clear fold. He will have a lot of suited cards in his calling range from BB because of the good odds 3way and also the three diamonds are low so they block the lower flushes that you beat and none of the stronger ones.


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krasops
Joined: 02.02.2014

vs unknown u played it fine....


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I agree with the fold here. Villain has a lot higher flushes.
The river x/r is not a bluff that often to make it profittable to look him up.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think you played it fine. OTR it is a fold, villain has higher flushes in his range and he very rarely bluffs like this.


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

Well played, kevin2001.
Like the guys said, lower flushes are way unlikely in contrast that higher ones are totally possible.


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