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nl10 AQ

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xero100
Joined: 06.08.2009

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10.82 (108.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $10.77 (107.7 bb)
UTG: $9.39 (93.9 bb)
MP: $11.57 (115.7 bb)
CO: $4.35 (43.5 bb)
BTN: $1.81 (18.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A Q
UTG raises to $0.20, MP calls $0.20, CO folds, BTN raises to $1.81 and is all-in, SB folds, Hero raises to $4.25, UTG folds, MP calls $4.05

Flop: ($10.56) 5 T 2 (3 players, 1 is all-in)
Hero checks, MP bets $7.32 and is all-in, Hero folds

Turn: ($10.56) K (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($10.56) 9 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

utg 19% open 500 hands
mp is 21/18 reg
btn is fish 46/16 14 hands 25% open limp


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2 replies
hardlife66
Joined: 07.10.2014

You saw the hands did anyone have 3 of a kind?


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

hi

interesting. this would usually be an easy fold pre...
but when utg opens 19%, our fold equity should be decent against both early players here... given no reads, mp shouldn't have a lot of traps. and about utg, assuming that the 19% utg open is accurate and he only continues with QQ+ and AK in this spot, he will fold over 90% of the time!

so i guess it's closer. still, i feel like folding is better.
i guess your reasoning is that you wanted to isolate against the fish, but while you are most likely ahead of his range, the main problem is that both utg and mp can still wake up with a hand. even if the fish is shoving any two (which he probably isn't), AQo still is "only" 65/35 against that, so you do need the other players to be folding very often since you're pretty much out of the hand when they continue.

in any case, when you go for this play, making a sizing that large is definitely a mistake. just call or min4bet (as with strong hands!), it still looks strong and will lose less money when they have something.


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