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Triple barrel bluff

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Gianzzurri99
Joined: 13.02.2019

Hand from Ignition 5NL,
Decided to try a 3-barrel bluff, wont have many bluffs in this spot apart from AQ.
I would use the exact same line with JJ, KK, AA, AK.
What are your thoughts on this bluff in the long run? Is it too optimistic?

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem $0.05(BB)
SB ($4.99) [VPIP: 27.2% | PFR: 22.2% | AGG: 19.4% | 3-Bet: 15.4% | Hands: 82]
HERO ($7.04) [VPIP: 25.2% | PFR: 13.8% | AGG: 25.6% | 3-Bet: 6.3% | Hands: 9619]
UTG ($3.14) [VPIP: 27.5% | PFR: 13% | AGG: 44.1% | 3-Bet: 6.5% | Hands: 70]
HJ ($1.33) [VPIP: 31.6% | PFR: 10.5% | AGG: 25% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 19]
CO ($10.28) [VPIP: 42.3% | PFR: 7.7% | AGG: 26.3% | 3-Bet: 13.3% | Hands: 26]
BTN ($8.14) [VPIP: 33.3% | PFR: 11.1% | AGG: 33.3% | 3-Bet: 3.7% | Hands: 82]

Dealt to Hero: T♠ A♥

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Calls $0.05, BTN Folds, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $0.25, CO Calls $0.20

Hero SPR on Flop: [13.06 effective]
Flop ($0.52): 2♥ J♠ K♣
HERO Bets $0.30 (Rem. Stack: 6.49), CO Calls $0.30 (Rem. Stack: 9.73)

Turn ($1.12): 2♥ J♠ K♣ 6♥
HERO Bets $0.70 (Rem. Stack: 5.79), CO Calls $0.70 (Rem. Stack: 9.03)

River ($2.52): 2♥ J♠ K♣ 6♥ 5♠
HERO Bets $1.75 (Rem. Stack: 4.04), CO Calls $1.75 (Rem. Stack: 7.28)

Spoiler

CO shows: Q♣ J♦

CO wins: $5.72


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5 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

You are dealing with a loose passive villain based on his pre-flop stats and I doubt against a player like him a 3barrel bluff will work. I doubt he will fold to often if he called the flop and the turn and rivers are blanks like now. After the flop Cbet I would just give up and try to hit the straight as cheap as possible.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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drinkmorewater
Joined: 26.09.2019

I wouldn't even cbet the flop. Check and hope he checkbacks or makes a betsizing mistake.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Is a decent option as well. Only problem is that you have only 4 outs for a straight and 3 for top pair and sometimes a villain is fit and folding the flop. If you check you need to give up if he bets.


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drinkmorewater
Joined: 26.09.2019

This adds up to 7 outs total.


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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

I'm fine with raising that pre, but I'd go for 6BB, OOP.

In HU, you may cbet that flop. The problem is: you would have to slow down the turn unimproved.
If villain call you on that board, even his semi-bluffs would have more outs than your hand.
So, I'd say he has at least QJ as made hand. As draw, I'd say QTs maybe QTo.

The turn is a blank and your equity hadn't improved. I'd check/fold there.

That river bet was unnecessary, IMHO.
If the player is stationish, you would make money by value betting him. Not by bluffing him.


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