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JJ vs monkey

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djchals
Joined: 09.01.2012

This is FT in Bubble. Awards for 6 firsts. Everyboby is limping in this table.

Call or Fold to his push? :f_mad:

888 Poker - €11+€1|125/250 Ante 30 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 113.15 BB (VPIP: 60.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
BB: 83.84 BB (VPIP: 36.25, PFR: 13.16, 3Bet Preflop: 15.00, Hands: 84)
UTG: 9.65 BB (VPIP: 23.53, PFR: 14.43, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 103)
UTG+1: 61.49 BB (VPIP: 36.67, PFR: 3.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
Hero (MP): 41.62 BB
MP+1: 52.19 BB (VPIP: 30.43, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
CO: 114.53 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 6)
BTN: 51.52 BB (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)

8 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.46 BB) Hero has J♠ J♣

fold, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 4 BB

Flop: (12.46 BB, 2 players) T♠ 3♥ 4♣
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 9.34 BB, UTG+1 raises to 56.37 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 27.16 BB and is all-in

Spoiler

Turn: (85.47 BB, 2 players) 5♥

River: (85.47 BB, 2 players) 9♦

UTG+1 shows T♦ 3♦ (Two Pair, Tens and Threes)
(Pre 17%, Flop 75%, Turn 82%)
Hero shows J♠ J♣ (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 83%, Flop 25%, Turn 18%)
UTG+1 wins 85.

47 BB


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6 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

He can easy go broke with a random T most likely. So I can’t fold this hand and you are the 7th stack and 6 get paid. So this is a good opportunity to have a nice stack on the bubble as well.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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TomClassy
Joined: 06.05.2015

I think SDK may not agree with me and may be I got that stupid pattern coz losing in similar cases got so much imprinted in my mind rather than winning (which ofc I barely remember) that my opinion is result oriented but I feel like statistically opponents with similar stats do this stuff with 2 pair/sets and top pairs only against which summarised we are slightly behing and fold is fine when you know you have edge and your opponents are capable to go broke easily no having you involved in the hand. I am pretty sure this is the case here.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Sounds good to me, but beware you have a small sample on him and he looks like a unpredictable villain, but I’m not sure how these kind of players play on 888Poker in general at the $11 stakes and I expect most they are still extreme fishy that your edge could be better than taking a variance spot like this and for a good view is prize pool info also good to know.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

I have the Harrington series ringing in my ears after a new read... Here most everything speaks for a call. I know, if we call, we most often lose, but nowhere near enough that we don't have a pot odds call. Besides a micro-stack, we are the short stack. Not all at FT get paid either, and prizes are usually skewed towards 1st place.


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SawyerNS
Joined: 17.09.2010

Would be better to seen him do crazy stuff, then we would lean more towards a call; Recommend to analyse your response in similar situations; Because as mentioned "TomClassy", it may be forgotten hove much we earn by snapping this, than occasionally lose (referring "huge blow"); So to say this hand would not occur if he show us some Tx and lose;

And if we feeling devastating about this, then research definitely worth to be done.


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lila28
Joined: 31.05.2013

I don't call/fold vs c/r is only decision here what is debatable.

Not sure why we are betting 9bb into 12bb on Dry Txx board, we don't want narrow him to only Tx here for sure. Would try keep in some A high/K high/small pocket or unlikely 2x/3x pair in from weaker player by betting around 6bb or so.

Would probably not get away vs c/r. No realistic 2 pairs on T23 board, TT even weaker player might slowplay and so there is only 22/33 beating us and i would think there is more Tx hands in his range and money already in for us to make call. Seeing results now still think T3 and T2 is too unlikely in his range utg.

But again smaller bet flop keep his weaker hands in (what we want) and it less likely he will decide shove over call with some hands and we can control pot in turn/river some more being IP


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