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Nl200 99

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
SB ($201)
Hero ($368)
UTG ($188)
UTG+1 ($70)
CO ($56.95)
BTN ($297)

Dealt to Hero 9♥ 9♦

UTG raises to $6, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $4

FLOP ($13) 3♣ J♥ J♦

Hero checks, UTG checks

TURN ($13) 3♣ J♥ J♦ 5♣

Hero bets $10, UTG calls $10

RIVER ($33) 3♣ J♥ J♦ 5♣ 2♣

Hero bets $23, UTG raises to $80, Hero??

villain: 23/19 (4bb/100 winner NL200/400 over 250k+ hands)
2 AF
61% cbet flop
1.2k hands
No relevant reads.

I would assume that he close to never has the flush here since he probably cbets a BDFD OTF when he is raising UTG, and the SPPs also seem pretty unlikely since these are usually hands that people cbet on these kind of boards.

So then there are just some weirdly played Jx that are left in his range that he could take this line for value with. So call it off?

And do you like my bets in the first place?


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7 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I call here if the guy is some bluffy LAG cos this is a good card for him to turn Ace high into a bluff.

I fold against a TAG cos he probably has what he's trying to rep.

I think we have the best hand very often after the Flop action so easy 2 street of value on Turn and River


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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

What can we tell about his sizing?

He makes it pretty big, and the majority of my range here won't be too strong, so could that lead us to think that the raise is more bluffheavy?


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Fold >>>>>>> Shove > call imo


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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Elaborate.

why would we wanna turn our into our hand into a bluff here?


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DailyDollarPro
Joined: 11.07.2011

I don't get why you bet the river in the first place? What are you trying to achieve? value from 66-88, 5x?

Isn't check then evaluate a much better line in this spot?


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Originally posted by axelphoney
Elaborate.

why would we wanna turn our into our hand into a bluff here?

I would not do it very often. But I think shoving > calling, if the guy is capable of folding a flush.

Yeh we only rep 6/9 combos of fullhouses, but no one 3bet bluffs rivers.

I think his range is flushes and air and weighted way more towards flushes. Hence why I think folding > calling


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lnternet
Joined: 19.06.2012

Originally posted by axelphoney
I would assume that he close to never has the flush here since he probably cbets a BDFD OTF when he is raising UTG

I disagree. He reps a nutflush perfectly, AK:club::club: AQ:club::club: or any of the low AX:club::club:.

I agree he would bet KQ:club::club: and the like mostly, but Ahi checking back for showdown is reasonable.


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