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NL200 97s

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

IPoker, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP: $200 (100 bb)
CO: $637 (318.5 bb)
BTN: $203.20 (101.6 bb)
SB: $123 (61.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $209.25 (104.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7 9
MP folds, CO raises to $5, 2 folds, Hero calls $3

Flop: ($11) 7 K T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $8, Hero calls $8

Turn: ($27) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($27) A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $43, Hero???

Villain: 26/22
70/48/56 cbet%
50/39/31 ag%
48 WWSF

No relevant reads.

1. Possible range of villain for overbetting here?
I find Tx to be very unlikely (why cb and lose one street of value?) and QJ also somewhat unlikely as I woudl expect villain to barrel again with the OESD, AA might check tho, but again rather unlikely imo..
2. Hero's play OTR with this hand?
3. Hero's play OTR with QJ, AT, KT, trips? check/raise straights+ x% of the time?


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4 replies
serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

I feel like flop is way too loose with no backdoors and so many bad turn cards for you.

I feel like river is a x/r for value for you if you have KT/QJ/AT. I prob nit it up and don't bluff too often though although raising would look extremely strong.


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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

I think we will fold way too much if we c/fold 97s here. I already have 46% fold to cbet flop, which I guess is on the higher side but not extreme by any means. I think we have to/can c/call though. I don't think it is that bad if we do have some hands that we just c/call flop and then almost always give up OTT unimproved. I think I would have enough hands in my c/call turn range anyway (would call most Tx again, calling or c/r QJ, 98s occasionally depending on turncard).

Check/raising is obv an option too and is also a line I occasionally take with my bottom-/weakpair type hands OTF, but on this board I don't have raising range so I like calling more for that reason.

Thoughts?


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serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

Hi,

Obviously the board interacts with both of your ranges but it slightly favors his range so thats why this isnt a spot where you shouldnt be like zomg im folding too much because 97s here with no bdfd is not doing well vs a well developed cbetting range, if he is cbetting too much then maybe you can xr but even then its too spewy. I honestly think you are just burning money by xc this.


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BC1989RF
Joined: 09.04.2010

shove $197?
has to work 73% of the time.
AA = 3
QJ = 15/16 (say he bets QJss ott)

if vilain only calls boats - which i think he mite do - you have a profitable shove.
Not sure if the ev of a bluffcatch is higher - hero is perceived Kx, Tx, AQ, AJ. Vilain probably expects hero to call them if there's any decent history.


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