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50NL facing river shove

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rauldaniliuc
Joined: 10.08.2010

$0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP3$13.00:///////;CO$40.80:///////;BU$50.00:///////;SB (Hero)$71.04:///////;BB$25.49:///////;MP2$161.49:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q:c, T:c.
MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, CO folds, BU raises to $2.00, Hero raises to $6.50, 2 folds, BU calls $4.50.

Flop: ($14) A:d, K:h, J:s (2 players)
Hero bets $6.70, BU calls $6.70.

Turn: ($27.4) J:h (2 players)
Hero checks, BU checks.

River: ($27.4) 3:d (2 players)
Hero bets $12.50, BU raises to $36.80(All-In), Hero ???

Villain 20/16 F3bet 67 (opens 43% on the button) agg 54/28/18. Dream flop. The turn is one of the worst possible cards in the deck. As a read I know he can slowplay AA/KK pre, and he is not stacking off JJ pre. The river shove after the turn check really confused me. Why check the turn?? he has to OB the river if he wants to get money in. I led on the river, because I don't want him to check behind hands like AQ,AK.


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hey,

I'd bet bigger on this flop - you're rarely bluffing here with a weak hand and your value range is very strong. Sure, the turn is not the best card but I also don't see a reason to not keep betting against AQ/AK/JT/QJ etc.

As played, I think you lose value on the turn. Once you lead the river and get jammed on, I don't really think villain is turning Ax/Kx into a bluff here, given his extremely low AFq on turn and river. Hence, I fold.


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