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MP KK OOP vs Solid Reg (FR)

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Hey guys this is my first hand evaluation post and it was a hand that made me laugh but also had me thinking…

I believe I made the correct decision in folding this but am not quite sure. After going back over this I think he is taking this line with a bluff near 0% of the time. The way it played out I think he hit his set and booked it or he had the nut flush. He could easily float me on the flop with AQs or AKs given that my cbet flop is quite high (around 70-75%) and this is why I checked called the turn.

What do you think? Is this a fold or a call?

Villain is a 12/9 (VPIP/PFR) over 3k+ hands.

Poker Stars $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players

CO: $6.13
BTN: $10.02
SB: $5.00
BB: $4.24
UTG: $6.12
UTG+1: $4.88
UTG+2: $3.24
MP1: $4.48
Hero (MP2): $9.92

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is MP2 with Kc Kh
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.15, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.37) 7h 7c 3h (2 players)
Hero bets $0.26, BTN calls $0.26

Turn: ($0.89) Th (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.63, Hero calls $0.63

River: ($2.15) 2h (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $8.98 all in

Final Pot: $2.15
BTN wins $2.06


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6 replies
cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009

hi,

hes almost never bluffing here, so we are looking at the nut flush and full houses here very often so the worst hand we are calling here should be the Ah.

i think we could have bet the river for value, im not sure if hes betting the river himself on such a runout if he has a h thats not the Ah but he could definitely call a bet.

thanks
xavierfok


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Thanks! Good to know my thought process was heading in the right direction haha

When I called the turn bet I figured I had some showdown value with my K's against maybe 10 10 through QQ and I had also put him on AKs AQs after the float on the river. So when the river came the fourth heart I was really hoping for it to go check check. I didn't actually think of value betting the Kh flush as a possibility :/.

Would value betting the river have been a better line to take?


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andiofwbafc
Joined: 01.05.2012

Is it just me that thinks he doesn't want you to call that river bet - it is rather large after all.

If he has the Ah surely he would want to induce a call on the river and by betting that much he is unlikely to achieve it.

Either way I'm still folding anyway.


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andiofwbafc
Joined: 01.05.2012

Is it just me that thinks he doesn't want you to call that river bet - it is rather large after all.

If he has the Ah surely he would want to induce a call on the river and by betting that much he is unlikely to achieve it.

Either way I'm still folding anyway.


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redrawstump
Joined: 09.05.2012

Yup, just you @andio ;)
seriously though, in my experience overbets are almost always nutted at nano stakes.
as @cutegoldfish says, even the nut flush is a "click call peering from behind the sofa"

Keep it stumpy :f_cool:


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Yeah I have seen that happen quite a bit and it took me a while to learn how to dodge those insane over bets on the river. Once he put that in I knew there was no way I was calling. I still don't think I would have even called a 3/4 pot but there was definitely more chance I would have.


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