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BTN vs MP too loose line?/good spot to bluff?

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antLrace
Joined: 13.03.2015

**too small sample on opponent

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $34.36 (343.6 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG: $10.45 (104.5 bb)
MP: $12.74 (127.4 bb)
CO: $11.21 (112.1 bb)
Hero (BTN): $15.66 (156.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 8
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, CO folds, Hero calls $0.30, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.75) 8 6 J (2 players)
MP bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.15) T (2 players)
MP bets $0.90, Hero raises to $1.80, MP calls $0.90

River: ($5.75) 7 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $2.20, MP ....

so regarding his bet size on the flop, i saw him doing this on all the flop he was involved on previous hands (not many though). On the turn i felt was a good spot to bluff him out of jx, or 8s with a better kicker, and i thought i still had around 25% equity against his range (QQ+,AKs,AJs,A8s,KJs,QJs,J9s+,AKo,AJo,A8o,KJo,QJo,J9o+ *ok maybe AK seems is too much im not sure). On the river i thought it was ok to value bet very very thin, lol i was confused about the bet size because a lot of stuff seemed to overlap.

Im not sure if mine was a very risky and/or nonsensical play. what do you think? probably the min raise on the turn is silly, idk.


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2 replies
Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I don't like much raising the turn. We don't have any draws besides a gutshot and if we hit it, it will be very weak because any Q beats us. I think we should choose better spots for semi-bluffing here, probably some combo draws or pair+flushdraws/OESD's. Seems to me that raising the flop would be alot better, when we have a pair, BDSD and BDFD. As played the flop, I think we can call the turn, given the sizing, but probably with intention of giving up the river unimproved. As played, I think we can value bet thinly. He doesn't have 9x that often and we might get calls from TP or overpair.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

pair+ draw is a standard x/call on turn. If you raise and get re-raised you will have to fold the equity which you will realise with the call.


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