SH Zoom, T9s UTG vs MP, TP + FD

what about x/c flop? as played i don't fold turn, probably folding 2p- on the river, not sure if we should donk if the flush hits - i guess at these stakes people check behind a set very often.

Originally posted by Tomaloc
what about x/c flop?

Probably would work, but I guess we have enough equity to bet/call + I don't want to see J, Q, K or A on the turn.

so how can't you call turn? i don't think he has absolutely zero bluffs here, though on the river bluff percentages tend to drop.

I would checkcall turn and decide river. If he is playing draws aggressive by raising flop and like always betting turn? From opnnonents view board is quite low and if he puts you on just high card range then he would like to continue aggression on turn as well.

Originally posted by Tomaloc
as played i don't fold turn

Yeah, that was the main point of the hand. The question is does he raise draws on the flop. From his stats, I wouldn't say so. So, I think that we hope mostly for a turn flush to continue. Allthough, he is giving us 28,39% of pot odds to call the turn and the probability that we hit a flush on the river, without a fullhouse on the board, is 17,39%. If I calculated right, that means that we need to win $0,85 in average on the river to make the turn call profitable. Thus, I believe check/calling the turn would be an option.

Originally posted by AlvisR
I would checkcall turn and decide river. If he is playing draws aggressive by raising flop and like always betting turn? From opnnonents view board is quite low and if he puts you on just high card range then he would like to continue aggression on turn as well.

In this sampe size, I don't think he is raising draws on the flop, but we certainly can't be sure.

x/call turn and see what the river brings. Fold is not an option when you hold TP+FD.

Originally posted by nitrol
x/call turn and see what the river brings. Fold is not an option when you hold TP+FD.

It is and option, but probably wrong one. ♦

Yeah. Villain succeded in folding your equity share. Good for him.