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Expected equity?

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vuciitis
Joined: 19.02.2011

I have an awesome drawing hand, but still is it enough to go for stacks with no FE. :f_confused:

Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

BTN: $10.94 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 36, 3B: 11, AF: 0,0, Hands: 28
SB: $10.05 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 25, 3B: 13, AF: 3,0, Hands: 20
Hero (BB): $10.00 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 2,5, Hands: 101141
UTG: $10.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 8, AF: 1,1, Hands: 289
MP: $21.08 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 5,0, Hands: 98
CO: $16.37 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 24

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with K :spade: J :spade:
UTG raises to $0.30, 3 folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.90) 7 :heart: A :spade: J :heart: (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG bets $0.60, SB calls $0.60, Hero calls $0.60

Turn: ($2.70) Q :spade: (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG bets $1.80, SB raises to $6.43, Hero raises to $9.10, UTG calls $7.30, SB calls $2.67


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5 replies
Padelbro
Joined: 21.01.2010

You'll have to invest 9,1$ to win 30$ pot, you'll need 30% equity to go broke here.

You've 8 clean nut flush outs + 2 for nut straight (7s pairs the board and Th completes heart FD) = 10/46 = 21,7% equity.

You could've the right odds if 7s, Th, trip J's would be good, but I doubt it.


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LuckyManFromLT
Joined: 12.11.2013

Flop: I think it's not bad to fold this hand OTF.

Turn: You overplayed your hand, UTG is betting mostly 2pairs+ and SB will be shoving KTs/ maybe sets, so it should be pretty easy fold for you.


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vuciitis
Joined: 19.02.2011

Got it, tnx :f_thumbsup:


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

With all that action in mw pot we can fold and do not bother.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010