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Bubbled

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PotBox
Joined: 12.01.2016

This was on the bubble of a 9-man. I was down to 10 BBs with the others being at 9, 8, and 18. I had AQo UTG and chose to ship it. The big stack called from the BB.

Should I have folded and waited for a better spot? I knew that the BB was calling with way too many hands so should I get it in ahead or wait?

Spoiler

888 Poker - $2.70+$0.30|150/300 Ante 30 NL - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 8.8 BB (VPIP: 20.75, PFR: 16.15, 3Bet Preflop: 4.17, Hands: 270)
BB: 18.35 BB (VPIP: 32.35, PFR: 30.88, 3Bet Preflop: 15.00, Hands: 69)
Hero (CO): 10.03 BB
BTN: 7.82 BB (VPIP: 36.76, PFR: 3.03, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 69)

4 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.9 BB) Hero has Q♦ A♥

Hero raises to 9.93 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, BB calls 8.93 BB

Flop: (20.77 BB, 2 players) T♣ 5♠ J♣

Turn: (20.77 BB, 2 players) 7♥

River: (20.77 BB, 2 players) J♥

BB shows T♥ A♠ (Two Pair, Jacks and Tens)
(Pre 26%, Flop 70%, Turn 84%)
Hero shows Q♦ A♥ (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 74%, Flop 30%, Turn 16%)
BB wins 20.77 BB


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4 replies
lycoreus
Joined: 27.01.2012

Standard shove IMO. BB seems very loose so AQo is way ahead of his range.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Originally posted by lycoreus
Standard shove IMO. BB seems very loose so AQo is way ahead of his range.

That’s true, but ICM is here pretty ugly with 2 short stacks still in.
So it’s not weird that he has problems with spots like this.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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PotBox
Joined: 12.01.2016

One or two spots over and it would make things a lot easier.
It would also make things easier if he didn't hit a 10 on the flop :f_ugly:

Thank you for the input :)
I knew this was an easy +CEV spot but the ICM was pretty gross.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Off course you decision should not be based on the outcome of the hand.
So I would only put the outcome of the hand in to a spoiler and the rest without any spoiler.


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