QQ on bubble medium stack

Joined: 04.11.2016

25.03.2018, 22:56 0

Is this a call or not? On BTN is a reg who pushes with every 2 because he is bigstack, behind me is a tight player who has 1.1BB. I was 100% sure he will fold if I call despite the fact he could be 84 chips left only, but I had a monster vs guy who pushed any 2.

PokerStars, $1.32 + $0.18 - Hold'em No Limit - 200/400 (25 ante) - 3 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

BU: 6,582 (16 bb)
SB (Hero): 1,909 (5 bb)
BB: 509 (1 bb)

Pre-Flop: (675) Hero is SB with Q♠ Q♦
BTN raises to 6,557 (all-in), Hero calls 1,684 (all-in), 1 fold

Flop: (4,243) K♠ 5♦ 9♠ (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (4,243) 9♣ (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (4,243) 4♥ (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: 4,243

Showdown:
BU shows 8♠ K♦ (two pair, Kings and Nines)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 27%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)

SB (Hero) shows Q♠ Q♦ (two pair, Queens and Nines)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 73%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)

BU wins 4,243

Reply

Quote

9 replies

_Anonymous_

25.03.2018, 23:37 0

According to ICM explorer in this situation, you gonna need 69.83% of equity and the villain can push you with a range like:
66+,A4s+,K7s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,A8o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo

Based on that I supposed you should fold.

Reply

Quote

villijmeen99

Joined: 04.11.2016

Posts: 112

25.03.2018, 23:51 0

Originally posted by Arnalsan
According to ICM explorer in this situation, you gonna need 69.83% of equity and the villain can push you with a range like:
66+,A4s+,K7s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,A8o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo

Based on that I supposed you should fold.

As I said before reg was pushing any 2. No need to imagine what could be his range as it is clear - 100%.
SnG wizard shows that this is an easy call, but I would like to hear some more opinions as SnG wiz is not always right.

Reply

Quote

zagi11

Joined: 14.04.2010

Posts: 42

25.03.2018, 23:58 0

I snap call this even blindfolded. Ur 5bb deep and crushing his range.

Reply

Quote

zagi11

Joined: 14.04.2010

Posts: 42

26.03.2018, 00:08 0

Just to add sth. I might be wrong but think u are a bit results oriented with this hand hence ur are questioning yourself. Just cause he won doesnt mean it was a bad call. Most important is that you make the right decision. Good luck

Reply

Quote

SDK1987

Moderator

Joined: 12.11.2008

Posts: 43,850

26.03.2018, 06:28 0

Nasty ICM spot, but against someone that shoves any 2 QQ is still a call. It’s to bad it didn’t work out this time.

Cheers,
SDK1987

Reply

Quote

nutural

Joined: 21.09.2011

Posts: 183

26.03.2018, 08:55 0

Even when BU is pushing Nash Optimal 69% you have an easy call with QQ.
As you say he may well be pushing 100% making your call even easier.

Don't torture yourself with the result. You had a 72-28% and you lost. Wish that you always get these odds and longterm it will be a nice result :f_thumbsup: