Hello,
So I played this hand today, which I thought was played well in real-time, however since realized there was definitely a mistake made by me. Where was the mistake made?
1) Calling the flop check-raise (although small)? At the time I felt AT, AJ, AQ, KQ, 89s, JJ & TT could all play this way, however, I doubt this is a bluff most of the time and don't think JJ would play this way....
2) Betting the river. By the river I felt TT or JJ was most likely, the river means only 1 combo of TT, 6 combos of JJ and possibly 2 combos of ATs.
3) Bet sizing on the river. I felt my bet sizing could really attack JJ and get called, perhaps I should have used a 50% pot sizing instead? It would certainly be an easier fold.
4) Calling the river shove. It feels like I can't really fold here, but also it feels like I can't ever be winning. Is it possible to fold here?
Here is the hand:
Holdem - 6 players
SB: 128.8 BB (VPIP: 23.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
BB: 36 BB (VPIP: 70.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 36.36, Hands: 20)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.40, PFR: 16.80, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 126)
MP: 156.2 BB (VPIP: 20.49, PFR: 13.11, 3Bet Preflop: 4.17, Hands: 124)
Hero (CO): 136.4 BB
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♦: Q♠:
fold, MP raises to 3.4 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, fold, MP calls 6.6 BB
Flop : (21.4 BB, 2 players) 3♦: T♥: 7♣:
MP checks, Hero bets 8 BB, MP raises to 20 BB, Hero calls 12 BB
Turn : (61.4 BB, 2 players) 8♦:
MP checks, Hero checks
River : (61.4 BB, 2 players) T♠:
MP checks, Hero bets 50 BB, MP raises to 126.2 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 56.4 BB and is all-in
MP shows T♣: T♦: (Four of a Kind, Tens)
(Pre 18%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows Q♦: Q♠: (Two Pair, Queens and Tens)
(Pre 82%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
MP wins 260.4 BB
