Originally posted by chenny8888
Originally posted by TheRebuz
u missed mine point, maybe i wasn't clear
as i said in previous comments
i see no value in raising river, cos imo if villain is descend player he wont call us with any worse hand, cos hero line looks a lot like a flush (Aragcc) + the fact that hero dont have Tc or Ac makes more likely that villain has AcXc or TcQc,TcKc,Tc9c
why are you assuming he's a decent player? that's a very very very poor assumption. btw if i were villain i discount a huge amount of our flush combinations from our range as it's expected that we would continuation bet those (you don't have to, but it's in your perceived range)
checking on flop discounts only 44,qq,jj
and something like AKcc/AQcc/KQcc/KTcc/9Tcc/QTcc /Q9cc but imo we r going to check behind at least 15% of time with those hand
and btw why u think we should we bet all flush draws on that flop?? we shouldnt bet draws that we r not happy to get it in on flop imo
so imo only flush draws that we should bet there are t9,t8,98,TK,AK,AQ,AT, QX, clubs but we r going to check some of them some % of time also
and when we check behind Axcc and we hit our Axcc flush on turn we will at least 50% of time just call his bet on turn giving him rope to hang himself
and btw i dont think that we should ever bet like 76cc, or Axcc,Kxcc and something like that cos villan can c/shove and move us out of our draw