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[Closed] JT75ds PLO50

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lechrumski
Joined: 21.12.2008

Hello,

My question is mainly about about flop play. Against typical TAG who is probably cbetting this board 100% of the time is it better to get it in now? Or is it better to call and float as I can possibly still the pot from him on scare cards like 6, 8, 9.

What factors should I consider deciding whether to raise or call?

$0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
Prima
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Opponent is 23/16/ 3bet: 9.3 after 3.5k hands. He is typical TAG, with high flop cbet - 71% and low turn cbet 30%

Stacks:
UTG allinpartey ($46)
UTG+1 Warija ($67.01)
CO harakka061 ($160.19)
BTN lechrumski ($56.90)
SB CanIHasToo ($15.95)
BB AleYhatesu ($75.03)

Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) lechrumski is BTN 5♣ 10:spade: J♣ 7♠
3 folds, lechrumski raises to $1.75, 1 fold, AleYhatesu raises to $5.50, lechrumski calls $5.50

Flop: 5♦ 9♣ 2♣ ($11.75, 2 players)
AleYhatesu bets $7.50, lechrumski calls $7.50

Turn: K♥ ($26.75, 2 players)
AleYhatesu bets $17.50, $17.5 to lechrumski ($42.15)?


1 reply
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Against a player with a high cbet and a low turn cbet a float is clearly the best play. They are unlikely to bet the turn if they don't improve to 2 pair (or have a big draw). This is a good flop to call on as part of villains range that crushes you (better flush draws with a pair) will bet the turn, whilst a lot of the range you are flipping against will slow down against you on the turn, allowing you to win the pot with a turn bet rather than flipping against them on the flop.

That said, the turn card is terrible for you, all the better flush draws have now definitely hit a higher pair, and there is no way your opponent is folding on the river with $25 left into a pot of what will be $85 if you shove.

I think villain has something on the turn, and whatever it is, beats your pair of fives so you don't really have a choice but to fold this turn.