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[Closed] nl2 - 99 - MP - flop 456s

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brooksjohn
Joined: 23.08.2010

Do I call the flop raise, fold or re-raise?

iPoker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (MP+1): $1.89
CO: $2.02
BTN: $2.00
SB: $1.11
BB: $1.00
UTG: $1.30
UTG+1: $2.96
MP: $1.10

SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 9♣ 9♦

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.08, CO calls $0.08, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($0.19, 2 players) 4♠ 5♠ 6♠
Hero bets $0.14, CO raises to $0.61, Hero?......

Over 22 hands villain has stats of VP: 27/ PR: 5 / AttemptoSteal: 0.

Preflop equity:


       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    62.24%  61.93%   0.31% { 99 }
CO     37.76%  37.45%   0.31% { 77-55, ATs-A2s, KJs-K5s, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, AQo-A7o, K9o+, Q9o+, JTo }

Post flop equity is actually slightly better:


Board: 6♠5♠4♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    63.32%  61.64%   1.68% { 99 }
CO     36.68%  35.00%   1.68% { 77-55, ATs-A2s, KJs-K5s, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, AQo-A7o, K9o+, Q9o+, JTo }


1 reply
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello brooksjohn,

I would rather put the opposite into the equilab, which most likely doesn't even give us the equity:

Board: 4♠5♠6♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    74.59%  72.17%   2.42% { 77-44, 98s, 87s, 65s, 54s, KsQs, QsJs, Ts9s, 98o, 87o, 65o, 54o, As6h }
UTG+1  25.41%  23.00%   2.42% { 9d9c }

And tells me rather to just Bet/Fold it right on flop. :)

Best Regards.