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Nl 200 88

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Pacific
Hero ($220)
BB ($161)
UTG ($679)
UTG+1 ($203)
CO ($369)
BTN ($237)

Dealt to Hero 8♣ 8♦

fold, fold, CO raises to $6, fold, Hero raises to $21, fold, CO calls $15

FLOP ($44) 3♣ 5♣ 4♣

Hero bets $25, CO calls $25

TURN ($94) 3♣ 5♣ 4♣ 5♦

Hero bets $50, CO raises to $323 (AI), Hero calls $124 (AI)

RIVER ($442) 3♣ 5♣ 4♣ 5♦ T♣

Villain is 27/20, 32% steal from SB, 33% fold to 3bet, 15% fold to cbet, 25% wtsd.
We have fairly aggressive dynamics, both pre and postflop.


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2 replies
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Nh imo.
With dynamics you can argue for and against getting it in here, obv it depends entirely on what he currently thinks about your 2ndbarrelingrange - if he can float this with AJ+ and shove the turn with some equity (i.e. Ax with a club), then getting it in is perfectly fine:
Even vs a worst case range (including overpairs and flushes) we have 28%:

Board: 5♣4♣3♣ 5♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    71.96%  71.96%   0.00% { TT+, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, JcTc, Tc9c, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs, AdQc, AhQc, AsQc, AcQd, AcQh, AcQs, AdJc, AhJc, AsJc, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs }
MP3    28.04%  28.04%   0.00% { 8h8c }

And given we need to call 124 for ~440 we need 28.1% equity, so we're at least making a breakeven-call.


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LooserSR
Joined: 27.02.2011

villain folds to 3b only 33 % so he is most probably calling any PP vs 3b esp 10BB deeper. with agro dynamic he rarely has AK or QQ+ cause he would 4b preflop. for me its fold in this spot.

www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 5c4c3c5d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 22.27% 22.27% 0.00% { 8d8c }
MP3 77.73% 77.73% 0.00% { JJ-99, 55-33, KdKc, QhQs, 6d6c, 6h6c, A5s, 76s, 65s, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, 8c7c, Ac6c, Ac4c, Ac3c, AdQc, AhQc, AcQh, AcJd, AcTd, KcQh }


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