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Calling continuation bet with backdoors and overcard

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SanMomo
Joined: 04.07.2009

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.25/$0.5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J:s, K:d.
Hero raises, CO 3-Bets, 3 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (7.4 SB) Q:h, 3:d, 5:d (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (4.7 BB) 7:s (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero folds, CO gets uncalled bet back.

Final Pot: 4.7 BB.

Villain's stats: vpip 59 pfr 24 af 0,9 wts 63

Is calling once ok? I though he might give me freecard some of the time.


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

60/24 won't give that much freecards. You could justify the call by the fact that he's got 24 PFR but what is his 3bet frequency? Let's check your Equity against his potential 3bet range.


Board: Q♥3♦5♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    33.15%  30.61%   2.53% { KdJh }
MP3    66.85%  64.32%   2.53% { 55+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

Didn't see first that you have a backdoor flushdraw with K♦

So against this range, also including JT QT KT etc, you should call the flop but fold the Turn unimproved. If a 9 appears on the turn, you should call the turn again and fold the river ui. The King on the River looks quite scary. you may consider donking?

Somebody who'd donk the River in Kx?


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