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TT, river call against reg

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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016

PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.68, PFR: 14.64, 3Bet Preflop: 3.19, Hands: 5,798)
SB: 43.6 BB (VPIP: 36.24, PFR: 16.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 149)
Hero (BB): 112.4 BB
UTG: 132.6 BB (VPIP: 13.89, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 36)
UTG+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 12.95, PFR: 10.36, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 195)
MP: 111 BB (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 12.82, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 80)
MP+1: 97.6 BB (VPIP: 18.02, PFR: 8.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.92, Hands: 114)
CO: 130 BB (VPIP: 17.53, PFR: 12.29, 3Bet Preflop: 4.70, Hands: 1,340)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has T♦ T♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.4 BB, 2 players) 6♣ 7♣ 5♥
Hero checks, CO bets 4 BB, Hero calls 4 BB

Turn: (14.4 BB, 2 players) A♠
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (14.4 BB, 2 players) 2♠
Hero checks, CO bets 9 BB, Hero calls 9 BB

Hi guys! Villain is adequate reg, so when he checks behind OTT on such drawy board, I don't think he has an ace. So on the river I put him mostly on bluffs from some draws or thin value betting from 88 and 99. What do you think about this call? Is it +EV?


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5 replies
MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

He can have an ace (or even a set), because some people play stupidly backward, but I'd call anyway.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I agree, he can have an ace or even a set. I have seen a lot of bet check bet lines with strong hands. But anyway I think he has a lot of weaker hands too and I would call there.


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briccius
Joined: 26.06.2007

He could also have KK-TT. I do not understand why you guys think he could have a set...? I think it is quite unlikely he would check ott with a set, at least if he is a half-decent player.


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Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009

Easy fold river against this nit. You dont beat anything of his value range and those guys do not bluff often for this river call to be plus EV in long term


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BelligerentBird
Joined: 08.08.2016

Originally posted by Sunrise1912
Easy fold river against this nit. You dont beat anything of his value range and those guys do not bluff often for this river call to be plus EV in long term

I don't think that 17/12 is nit for full-ring game and these guys do occasionally bluff. I'm just not sure that he would bluff in spots like this...


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