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Ramble's Ramblings

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nathanrenard
Joined: 10.02.2009

Originally posted by webhunky
I have 364 games in $5 Spin Go, with $520 profit and 28.6% ROI. And I'm not even a SnG player.
Maybe it's just an upswing, but I like to believe that's because of 90% fishes.

It could be, one thing that I didn't mentioned but it's also important to notice that my graph was playing 9 games at the time, in consecutively, so I definitely played sub-optimal play. As I said, it was part of a prop bet.


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diabelb
Joined: 02.04.2010

@webhunky
to get 28.6% roi you need to have about 45-6% ITM - its just impossible. You have a huge upswing or you are genius :f_thumbsup:


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webhunky
Joined: 31.03.2010

It's not a rocket science :f_grin: Although I believe the part of it is upswing.


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nathanrenard
Joined: 10.02.2009

Originally posted by webhunky

It's not a rocket science :f_grin: Although I believe the part of it is upswing.

Hopefully you just got it and keep getting rich. Although isn't the rake on the $5 super high now with the $10^6k going on?


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

Originally posted by nathanrenard
Will follow your blog, and hope to see you in the final HU on the All-In tournaments :f_pleased:

I'll go all-in if you do! :f_drink:

Thanks for following and posting.


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IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012

Please don't play spin and goes !
I tell you this honestly from bottom of my heart my friend. Variance in those is sick and you can never predict if you will run decent on higher multipliers where you actually need decent ITM in order to make profit.
They are not meant to be grinded for RB but rather as lottery type game. Any pro SNG player will tell you 2 things :1)get sick bankroll and be ready to play them 2-3-5 years 2) avoid playing them all together and consider switching formats
I would suggest 2nd option because CG, MTT and 180s seem like better long term switch. SNGs are still solid but 25-30$ per hour seems like a maximum hourly in them post RB.

Look forward to your feature update!!!


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

Originally posted by IvicaIliev77
Please don't play spin and goes !

I'm not planning on it. I consider them the enemy... for now anyways. I'm hoping one day down the road that their popularity draws new players into poker and site. Those players have fun and decide to check out other formats (for whatever reason - variety or realize they can't win lottery that Spins are), numbers return to SnG's better than ever. We'll see though - could all be a silly dream.


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

PokerStars Ultimate Challenge

I just got my PokerStars Ultimate challenge amounts:
Bonus: $52.50
VPP Required: 1575

At the stakes I'm playing that works out to about 640 games in 30 days (or about 150/week).
My goals for 2015 had me going for 100 games/week. It seems close and attainable, but I really don't know if I can make it happen.

The funny thing is that the promotion ends for me on Valentine's day... I have a feeling that if I try to make it, it could be a very expensive Valentine's. :f_love:


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webhunky
Joined: 31.03.2010

You got a very good deal.
My ultimate challenge is totally ridiculous: 200$ and 20k VPP, which is virtually impossible.


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nathanrenard
Joined: 10.02.2009

Originally posted by webhunky
You got a very good deal.
My ultimate challenge is totally ridiculous: 200$ and 20k VPP, which is virtually impossible.

That's so f'ed up. I got a $50 for only 1,400 VPPs, and will take me just about 13 days to clear it.


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

Originally posted by nathanrenard

Originally posted by webhunky
You got a very good deal.
My ultimate challenge is totally ridiculous: 200$ and 20k VPP, which is virtually impossible.

That's so f'ed up. I got a $50 for only 1,400 VPPs, and will take me just about 13 days to clear it.

Yeah - I've been looking at a bunch and it does seem I got a pretty good deal... I still won't make it though :f_mad: - I'll likely be broke before then... Had another session tonight and the run bad I experienced was insane - 16 buy-ins under EV in 35 games... :ayfkm:

Time to go to bed and sleep it off... tomorrow is another day.


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nathanrenard
Joined: 10.02.2009

Originally posted by Ramble

Originally posted by nathanrenard

Originally posted by webhunky
You got a very good deal.
My ultimate challenge is totally ridiculous: 200$ and 20k VPP, which is virtually impossible.

That's so f'ed up. I got a $50 for only 1,400 VPPs, and will take me just about 13 days to clear it.

Yeah - I've been looking at a bunch and it does seem I got a pretty good deal... I still won't make it though :f_mad: - I'll likely be broke before then... Had another session tonight and the run bad I experienced was insane - 16 buy-ins under EV in 35 games... :ayfkm:

Time to go to bed and sleep it off... tomorrow is another day.

You'll turn it around, i finished my hyper challenge and was 28 BI under EV.


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

Originally posted by nathanrenard
You'll turn it around, i finished my hyper challenge and was 28 BI under EV.

Yeah it's getting there - played another session of 34 games - ran 1.5 buy-ins above EV with an ROI of 30%. :f_thumbsup:

My wife just made plans for the evening, so after I tuck the little guy into bed, should get another good session in tonight... :f_drink:


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ZapOut
Joined: 03.08.2011

Ramble, thnx for the support.
I like the way you think a lot.
I just wanted to ask you 1 question. You did that 100 ICM hands per day, right ? So, do you still do it. And did it helped your game ?
Did you recognized any changes in your game ? Good and bad ?
I am struggling with MTT-s. Do you think it would help me to start training icm as well ?


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ZapOut
Joined: 03.08.2011

Posted twice accidentally.


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nathanrenard
Joined: 10.02.2009

Originally posted by ZapOut
Ramble, thnx for the support.
I like the way you think a lot.
I just wanted to ask you 1 question. You did that 100 ICM hands per day, right ? So, do you still do it. And did it helped your game ?
Did you recognized any changes in your game ? Good and bad ?
I am struggling with MTT-s. Do you think it would help me to start training icm as well ?

Can't tell for Ramble, but honestly for me? It helped me a lot, before I start the games of the day I'd put around 50 hands on SNG Wizard just to heat up to the moment. Ramble can tell you for his experience, but studying ICM and tinkering the situations does help a lot.

Originally posted by Ramble

Spoiler

Originally posted by nathanrenard
You'll turn it around, i finished my hyper challenge and was 28 BI under EV.

Yeah it's getting there - played another session of 34 games - ran 1.5 buy-ins above EV with an ROI of 30%. :f_thumbsup:

My wife just made plans for the evening, so after I tuck the little guy into bed, should get another good session in tonight... :f_drink:

Had no idea you were married, good luck on the games tonight run!


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

Originally posted by ZapOut
Ramble, thnx for the support.
I like the way you think a lot.
I just wanted to ask you 1 question. You did that 100 ICM hands per day, right ? So, do you still do it. And did it helped your game ?
Did you recognized any changes in your game ? Good and bad ?
I am struggling with MTT-s. Do you think it would help me to start training icm as well ?

It helped my STT games immensely - ICM is one of biggest factors that you need to figure out to be successful in this game.

I would think for MTT's the same applies. I've watched a bunch of Collin Moshman and Katie Dozier MTT videos on this site and they often talk about the ICM considerations - I think it is essential there as well, especially as you approach and then enter the final table.

I don't do the 100 hands anymore. I did them in the beginning because I REALLY didn't understand ICM - why it appeared that in the "exact same spot" I could push with K9o one time, but couldn't with ATs the next time... I was really missing the relationship between the different stacks and positions and putting too much emphasis on the actual cards.

ICM Trainer definitely helped, and eventually I started to understand these relationships and dynamics better. Around the same time, I started using ICMizer A LOT MORE to analyze my sessions and would easily look at 50-100 hands each review in great detail. The nice thing about ICMizer is you can start to play around with the dynamics (stacks, ranges, positions, etc...) and see how it affects the situation. This overtook ICM Trainer as my study method of choice - but I think it is a really good idea to stick with ICM Trainer until you are consistently scoring 90%+ every time.


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

Originally posted by nathanrenard
Had no idea you were married, good luck on the games tonight run!

HaHa... you probably wouldn't given the amount of time I spend on here... :thinking:


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

300-Game Update

Got 60 games in today and managed to make some decent profit - ROI about 24%.

Games Played: 308
ROI: -0.69%
ITM Finishes: 38.6% (32/45/42)

I've been break-even over the past 6-weeks (~800 games) which is the longest stretch I've had since I really started working on my game about a year ago. I remain optimistic and confident that I'll come through this.

I might play a bit tomorrow, but more likely will spend my poker time reviewing today's session. I will also post my weekly goals update tomorrow.


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

Session Review

As I suspected yesterday, today was a busy family day! We got all my little guy's cousins together and tried to have them pose for pictures at the photo-studio... kind of like herding cats... in the end, we'll spend way too much money on pictures of kids looking in all different directions, crying and picking their noses... ah well - might as well capture the moment as it is!

I didn't get any poker play in today, but did review over 120 hands from my session yesterday. Very satisfied with my level of play in general. I've noticed that my ranging skills are getting quite solid overall, specifically:

  • I am rarely surprised by my opponents cards - they are almost always in the range I put him on and I don't believe I am putting him on too wide a range.
  • Marked hands often turn out to be just on the good-side of the border - meaning I have a good understanding of the limits of correct ranges.
  • My shoving ranges are usually very good.
  • My calling ranges when medium-to-deep stacked are usually good.
  • My calling ranges when EXTREMELY short-stacked (6 bb or less) are off a bit - I will be adjusting these over next few sessions.

A few hands from yesterday that I found interesting:

#1 - The "Is it Good or Lucky?" Hand
What makes it interesting? (It's the bubble, if I call I'm all-in, and both CO and I have the exact same stack!!!)

Poker Stars, $6.55 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): 2,890 (14.5 bb)
BB: 5,250 (26.3 bb)
CO: 2,890 (14.5 bb)
BTN: 2,470 (12.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q Q
CO raises to 2,865 and is all-in, BTN calls 2,445 and is all-in, Hero :thinking: calls 2,765 and is all-in, BB folds

Flop: (8,475) A T J (3 players, 3 are all-in)
Turn: (8,475) K (3 players, 3 are all-in)
River: (8,475) 5 (3 players, 3 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

8,475 pot
Final Board: A T J K 5
Hero showed Q Q and won 8,475 (5,585 net)
CO showed 7 7 and lost (-2,890 net)
BTN showed A K and lost (-2,470 net)

ICMizer analysis shows good call with QQ+. :fuckyeah:

#2 - The "Do I Tempt Fate or Roll the Dice?" Hand
What makes it interesting? (It's the bubble, 3 of us under 2 bb, I can fold this and next hand and force an all-in shoot-out on the following hand between me, other shorty, and (likely) big-stack)

Poker Stars, $6.55 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): 415 (0.7 bb)
BB: 11,120 (18.5 bb)
CO: 870 (1.5 bb)
BTN: 1,095 (1.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A 5
2 folds, Hero calls 65 and is all-in

Flop: (930) 2 7 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (930) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (930) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

930 pot
Final Board: 2 7 9 J K
Hero showed A 5 and lost (-415 net)
BB showed Q 7 and won 930 (515 net)

ICMizer analysis shows I shove ATC and he calls ATC... I'm still wondering if folding this and next hand, and allowing opponent to make mistake, or forcing 3-way all-in shoot-out is better...) :f_confused:

#3 - The "I still don't understand the balance between Equity and ICM Tax" Hand
What makes it interesting? (It's the bubble, I have a great 2nd stack, I think I have about 70% equity on a very dangerous turn - what to do?!?!?)

Poker Stars, $6.55 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 5,825 (29.1 bb)
Hero (BB): 4,065 (20.3 bb)
CO: 1,935 (9.7 bb)
BTN: 1,675 (8.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5 7
2 folds, SB completes, Hero checks

Flop: (500) 2 5 A (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (500) 7 (2 players)
SB bets 600, Hero raises to 3,840 and is all-in, SB calls 3,240

River: (8,180) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

8,180 pot
Final Board: 2 5 A 7 7
SB showed T A and lost (-4,065 net)
Hero showed 5 7 and won 8,180 (4,115 net)

Good play or not - I dunno??? :f_confused:


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