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77 button steal bottom set

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scopinad
Joined: 13.06.2015

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP: $0.90 (45 bb)
CO: $2.39 (119.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $1.68 (84 bb)
SB: $2.02 (101 bb)
BB: $1.77 (88.5 bb)
UTG: $2.97 (148.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7♣: 7♥:
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.07, SB folds, BB calls $0.05

Flop: ($0.15) J♣: T♣: 7♠: (2 players)
BB bets $0.02, Hero raises to $0.20, BB calls $0.18

Turn: ($0.55) J♥: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.52, BB raises to $1.50 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.89

River: ($3.37) 5♥: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$3.37 pot ($0.17 rake)
Final Board: J♣: T♣: 7♠: J♥: 5♥:
Hero showed 7♣: 7♥: and lost (-$1.68 net)
BB showed T♥: T♠: and won $3.20 ($1.52 net)

Opponent
I have a very small sample (27 hands), but somehow I had the feeling he is a calling station, hence the "reads" dilemma.

VP$IP: 48.1% Aggression Factor: 1.2
PFR: 3.7% Aggression Frequency: 24.0%
3-Bet%: 0.0%

My automatic reload was about to kick in at 80% (1.60 NL2), I guess I saved some money...
Variance? Or could I save my stack with reads? Can you fold that hand with reads??


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6 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would most likely bet the turn a little bit smaller like maximum 40c against this fish for value and try to get it in on the river. Further it’s smart to sit always with at least 100bb at the table. Then you can win more money against fishes on long run.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Without seeing spoiler, I think we should get it in anyway. Villain will mostly have Jx hands and no boat.

Seeing spoiler: Set over set happens around 11% of the time. We should not lose in the long run in these situations.


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KatalonacX
Joined: 22.11.2013

Everything looks standard, no fold. GL


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TakingAShot
Joined: 29.05.2017

Totally standard cooler. Well played.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

wp


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nguyenhieudl
Joined: 15.02.2013

always respect fish Passive XR all in . but in that case i think call it ok


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