Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

77 set river

3 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
28 Views
GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 182.73 BB (VPIP: 15.62, PFR: 11.86, 3Bet Preflop: 4.81, Hands: 741)
SB: 430 BB (VPIP: 22.66, PFR: 17.97, 3Bet Preflop: 1.92, Hands: 133)
BB: 136.97 BB (VPIP: 22.56, PFR: 18.11, 3Bet Preflop: 5.95, Hands: 9,002)
UTG: 48.5 BB (VPIP: 28.26, PFR: 23.19, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 142)
Hero (MP): 121.32 BB
CO: 99 BB (VPIP: 20.88, PFR: 7.91, 3Bet Preflop: 2.25, Hands: 443)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7♣ 7♦

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 2♦ 7♠ 8♦
BB checks, Hero bets 4.63 BB, BB calls 4.63 BB

Turn: (15.76 BB, 2 players) 5♥
BB checks, Hero bets 11.23 BB, BB calls 11.23 BB

River: (38.22 BB, 2 players) T♣
BB checks, Hero bets 27.23 BB, BB calls 27.23 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows 7♣ 7♦ (Three of a Kind, Sevens) (Pre 19%, Flop 86%, Turn 95%)
BB mucks J♥ J♦ (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 81%, Flop 14%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins 89.68 BB

standard reg.
He is raising flop and turn agro, so he shouldnt have any of strong hands on river except TT, maybe 8Ts if he has it in range.
Since his range on river is busted draws, JJ, TT, 99, 89s, maybe some TdJd, what should be my bet size? I guess I could pot size because draws are busted. Should it be bet/fold because he likely raises only TT?


Reply
Quote
2 replies
lnternet
Joined: 19.06.2012

You can bet pretty big because he has few strong hands, likely no straight and almost no sets that didn't raise before. So I like a 3/4 to pot size river bet.

You can not bet big because a lot of draws bust, that is not a good reason. It may be a good exploitive reason, if you think he calls too much when this is the case, but it's not a sound theoretical reason.

If he raises river, that's only representing TT and perhaps 88 for value. Not sure which bluffs though, I guess 99 and some 98 97 might make sense, and only a few of those are easily enough combos to call a raise. Doubt you can fold 77 to a river raise, no matter how big you bet.


Reply
Quote
GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

I hit jack pot, Internet answered my question :)

I was thinking exploitative on river, i dont try to play theoretical vs regs who are not very very good.
I try to play balanced on flop and turn because those spots happen often, and villians can have enough sample size to notice if i play unbalanced, and can have vs hero stats.

Theoretically imo on river imo it should be shove with most strong hands which is max EV vs weak range defending 1-a. That way we ilcan use max number of bluffs in balanced range.

Thanks for answering, hope to see more answers from you :)


Reply
Quote