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[Closed] Barreling AK w A high

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Pizzacat
Joined: 07.08.2009

Villain is a reg who loves to flat 3bets and float pots (50% fold to 3b, 30% fold to cbet)

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
4 Players

Stacks:
CO sandman1985 ($226.55)
BTN Semenov Andrey ($246)
SB Hero ($316.45)
BB Omeome33 ($120.60)

Pre-Flop: ($3, 4 players) Hero is SB A♥ K♣
sandman1985 raises to $6, 1 fold, Hero raises to $20, 1 fold, sandman1985 calls $14

Flop: 3♥ 8♦ 3♦ ($42, 2 players)
Hero bets $30, sandman1985 calls $30

Turn: 10:spade: ($102, 2 players)
Hero bets $68, sandman1985 calls $68

River: A♣ ($238, 2 players)
Hero ???


4 replies
peche025
Joined: 14.12.2008

Is it not the easiest ship in the world? Pray he has A :diamond:x :diamond: or JJ-KK and was trapping


getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

I think it's not insta ship, c/c is an option. He might shove some busted fds and A :diamond:x :diamond: for value. And it's unlikely he's calling river shove with hand like JJ anyways. He doesn't expect us to 3bet him and barrel with hand like 65s, if he knows we know his stats IMO, unless we have some weird history.


Pizzacat
Joined: 07.08.2009

I also think that better play is c-call/c-raise because if he has Ax, I can easily see him value betting against JJ-KK or bluff shoving with suited connectors or something.

Also, is there any chance I could fold to a shove if he has A3, A8, AT in his Call vs 3bet range?


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Do you think he will float flop AND turn a lot?

Vs a reg who floats that much and is capable of bluffing, I'd usually c/c turn and river.

As played on the river I'd probably ship it because I think a lot of opponents will check back low Axs they were floating with as well as PPs and call AJ+ anyway.

So unless you have a read that he is very active and is very likely to bluff the river, I'd valueshove.